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FICC Focus

Global Elections Permeate Sovereign Bond Markets: Macro Matters

Jul 11, 2024
Bloomberg Intelligence's Ira Jersey and Huw Worthington discuss the impact of global elections on bond markets. They delve into US congressional partisanship, French and UK elections' volatility, and the implications of the US Presidential election on trade and geopolitics.
24:35

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Global elections impact sovereign bond markets with increased volatility and widening spreads.
  • Rise of right-wing populism in Europe challenges EU governance and fiscal policies, signaling a less EU-friendly political landscape.

Deep dives

Implications of the French Election on Bond Spreads

The recent elections in France saw unexpected results with Marine Le Pen's party gaining momentum. Despite concerns about the populist right gaining power, a coalition effectively pushed her party into third place. This political shift has affected French bond spreads, causing them to widen. The market is now adjusting to a new trading range, reflecting the uncertain political landscape.

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