What will Donald Trump's second term in office look like?
Nov 7, 2024
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Ed Luce, U.S. editor of the Financial Times, and Susan Glasser, Staff writer for The New Yorker and co-author of 'The Divider,' dive into the potential realities of a second Trump presidency. They discuss a shift towards radical governance and the implications of personal loyalty in policy-making. The duo explores the new oligarchic influences in American politics, particularly with figures like Elon Musk, as well as the controversial healthcare positions that could emerge. They also analyze the challenges facing the Democratic Party amid this shifting landscape.
Trump's anticipated second term may feature a radical governance style emphasizing loyalty, potentially undermining experienced officials and institutional integrity.
The Democrats face significant challenges as internal dynamics and Biden's re-election bid raise concerns about strategy and leadership effectiveness moving forward.
Deep dives
Trump's Victory and America's Division
Donald Trump's recent presidential victory highlights a significant divide within the United States, with at least half of the populace supporting his controversial policies. His promises of mass deportations and a border wall indicate a hardline approach to immigration, raising questions about the feasibility and implications of such measures. Additionally, Trump’s tariff plans suggest an inclination towards deglobalization, targeting not just adversaries but allies as well, which could further strain international relations. This election outcome is also viewed as a rejection of progressive identity politics, signaling a shift towards a more populist and nationalistic political climate.
The Recklessness of a Second Term
Experts anticipate that a second term for Trump could be characterized by a more radical and reckless governance style, as he is now expected to have learned from the mistakes of his first term. With an emphasis on loyalty, Trump is likely to restructure the federal government to cater to personal and political interests, potentially sidelining experienced officials for those who would simply comply with his directives. The analogy to velociraptors adapting during a hunt suggests that Trump will be more adept at navigating political challenges, posing significant risks for the institutional integrity of U.S. governance. The concerns extend to a more aggressive legal strategy, particularly against perceived enemies, further complicating the political landscape.
The Role of Loyalty in the Trump Administration
Personnel choices are expected to play a critical role in Trump's new administration, where loyalty will influence every aspect of governance. Key figures from his first term, such as Stephen Miller and Rick Grinnell, are anticipated to regain influence, indicating a commitment to a more aligned and aggressive agenda. The concept of a loyalty test for appointments suggests a purge of bureaucratic resistance, fostering an environment where dissent is stifled and compliance is mandatory. This strategy raises alarms about the potential erosion of democratic norms and the executive branch's accountability.
Democrats' Path Forward and Internal Struggles
The Democrats face a considerable reckoning following their defeat, with Joe Biden's decision to run for re-election under scrutiny as a pivotal misstep. Critics argue that this move may have damaged the party's prospects, especially given Biden's visible decline in vigor. The party's internal structure and the selection of Kamala Harris as a candidate also highlight the need for a reevaluation of their strategies and leadership. As progressive factions gain traction, there is concern that this could alienate moderate voters and hinder future electoral successes, exemplifying the urgent need for introspection and strategic realignment.