
Alpha Exchange Todd Rapp, CEO, Fortress Multi-Manager Group
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Dec 9, 2025 In a compelling discussion, Todd Rapp, CEO of Fortress Multi-Manager Group and former equity options trader, delves into the critical lessons from the tech bubble of the late 90s. He connects historical market patterns to today’s differentiated correlation landscape, emphasizing the need for uncorrelated return strategies. Todd highlights the importance of optionality in managing equity risks and contrasts the traditional asset allocation approaches with modern multi-manager architectures. He also shares insights on hiring the right talent for navigating market complexities.
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Markets Express Probability Not Static Prices
- Todd frames markets as expressions of probability through deltas, curvature, and distribution shape rather than static prices.
- That viewpoint underpins his portfolio construction and risk measurement across the multi‑manager platform.
Learning Volatility In The Dot‑Com Bubble
- Todd Rapp began his career as a single-stock volatility trader at Goldman Sachs during the 1999 internet bubble where he hedged big collars like Mark Cuban's Yahoo position.
- That early experience taught him optionality and gamma/vega risks that shaped his career in risk management and multi-manager investing.
Options Show The Market's Probability
- Options reveal the market's implied probability distribution, which fundamental analysts can compare to their own forecasts to find edge.
- Todd argues that many investment decisions across asset classes are ultimately assessments of optionality and probability.
