Global Data Pod Research Rap: Data Drop – January Inflation Report Recap
Feb 29, 2024
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Exploring global inflation, the podcast dives into regional differences, such as firming prices in the US and deflationary pressures in China. They also discuss the impact of Red Sea disruptions on container shipping costs and the outlook for global core inflation.
Global core inflation remained around 3%, showing resilience in growth and sticky trends in consumer prices pressured by services.
Regional variations in inflation rates were noted, with the US experiencing significant service price growth while China faced deflationary pressures from excess capacity.
Deep dives
Global Inflation Monitor Overview
In early 2024, global core inflation remained around 3%, highlighting resilience in growth and sticky inflation trends. Consumer prices were mainly pressured by services, showing a firm increase. While consumer energy prices still exerted downward pressure, the overall progress in lowering inflation rates appeared to slow, indicating limited advancements expected in the first half of the year.
Regional and Sectorial Differences in Inflation Trends
Regional and sectorial variations in inflation rates were observed, with the US experiencing significant service price growth compared to modest pace in EM Asia. China faced deflationary pressures due to excess capacity, though the intensity diminished slightly. Despite stabilizing container shipping costs impacting core inflation, global supply chain pressures were deemed modest, with expectations of core inflation decreasing to 2.5% by 2025.
Nora Szentivanyi, Senior Economist, Global Emerging Markets and Samantha Azzarello, Head of Content Strategy, discuss the January global inflation report.
Speakers:
Nora Szentivanyi, Global Economic and Policy Research
Samantha Azzarello, Head of Content Strategy