Forward Guidance

LIVE From Permissionless | Forward Guidance & 1000x Collab Stream

4 snips
Oct 9, 2024
Jonah Van Borg, a seasoned trader with nearly two decades of experience, and Avi Feldman, a crypto expert since 2017, join Felix to tackle pressing financial topics. They discuss the intricate relationship between macroeconomic trends and the cryptocurrency market. Jonah and Avi analyze Bitcoin's potential as protection against volatile economies, the risks to the Fed's credibility, and the growing wealth disparity fueled by market speculation. Their insights on regulatory uncertainties and the current bifurcation in the economy provide a thought-provoking perspective on future investments.
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INSIGHT

Oil Market Dynamics

  • The oil market is oversupplied, with Saudi Arabia and OPEC withholding supply to keep prices high.
  • Geopolitical risks are less significant due to this excess capacity, unless Iran shuts the Strait of Hormuz.
ADVICE

Oil Trading Strategy

  • Turn off mean reversion strategies in oil when there's a risk of a price spike.
  • Disable short momentum strategies to avoid potential losses during times of geopolitical uncertainty.
INSIGHT

Macro and Crypto

  • Short-term macro divergences can offer trading opportunities in crypto.
  • Bitcoin's price correlates strongly with interest rates over the medium to long term.
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