WM Phoenix Open picks!

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the WM Phoenix Open.

-Top 6 names on odds board -1 matchup -1 t20 -2 outrights -Sleeper, FRP, 2 lineups, scoring

-Best bet For more on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59

Recap of Pebble Beach Pro-Am (0:39 - 32:26)

Rory McIlroy’s Dominance

• McIlroy secured his 27th PGA Tour win with a commanding performance.
• He finished 5-under on the final nine holes, with birdies at 10, 12, and 15, and a momentum-shifting eagle on the 14th.
• Led the field in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee and was top 10 in putting.
• Averaged 336 yards per drive (leading the field), scaling back to irons strategically in the final round.
• Will Doctor highlights McIlroy’s shift to a conservative approach in his final round, citing Jamie Kennedy (Golf Digest) for insightful questions on McIlroy's tactics.

Scottie Scheffler’s Performance

• Finished T-9 despite high expectations.
• Was above average in all statistical categories, with a final-round 67.
• Second round (70) cost him ground, but overall solid performance.

Tom Kim’s Near Miss

• Finished T-7, cashing a top-10 ticket.
• Struggled on par-5s, a key reason for missing a podium finish.
• Big mistake: bogey on the par-5 6th, where he hit into the Pacific Ocean.
• His slow play is a concern heading into Phoenix Open, especially with rowdy fans at TPC Scottsdale.

WM Phoenix Open – Picks & Predictions

Top Contenders & Betting Analysis

• Back-to-back WM Phoenix Open winner (2022, 2023).
• T-3 last year.
• Improved putting over recent months.
• Not betting outright but looking for a live number.

• Driving accuracy concerns.
• Has played well in Phoenix but struggles to win due to tee-shot inconsistencies.
• Passing on JT outright.

• 2-time Phoenix Open winner (2016, 2017).
• Struggled with driving accuracy in recent events.
• Third consecutive tournament, raising fatigue concerns.

• Has 2 top-10 finishes at Phoenix Open.
• However, below-average iron play in 2 of last 3 starts.
• Has not truly contended at this event.

• Back-to-back top-10s at WM Phoenix Open.
• Struggling with approach play in recent months.
• Passing on Burns this week.

• Slow play may be an issue in a loud environment.
• T-17 last year, finished 11 shots back.
• Not enough value at 33:1, so passing on Kim.

Best Bets & Sleeper Picks

Matchup Bets

• Rico Hoey over Thriston Lawrence (-106)
• Hoey: Great total driver & putter on overseeded greens.
• Lawrence: Poor driving accuracy & distance.
• Hoey should outperform Lawrence in these conditions.

Top Picks

• Win: 66:1
• Top-20: +240
• Strengths: Elite driver, strong recent putting.
• Recent results at WM Phoenix Open:
• T-23 in 2023.
• T-8 in 2022.
• Why bet? Improved driving accuracy recently, well-rested after missing Farmers.

• Win: 115:1
• Top-20: +350
• Past Winner (2018).
• Ball-striking back to form with coach Randy Smith.
• Putting showed improvement at Pebble Beach.
• Low risk, high reward pick.

Daily Fantasy Picks (DraftKings & PGA Tour Lineup)

DraftKings Lineup ($50K Budget)

1. Kurt Kitayama ($8.9K)
2. Luke Clanton ($8.3K)
3. Si Woo Kim ($8K)
4. Matt Fitzpatrick ($7.7K)
5. Charlie Hoffman ($7.2K)
6. Gary Woodland ($7.1K)

PGA Tour Fantasy Lineup

• Starters: Kitayama (Captain), Woodland, Clanton, Si Woo Kim.
• Bench: Hoffman, Fitzpatrick.

Final Predictions

• Winning Score: -18
• Best Bet: Kurt Kitayama Top-20 (+240)
• First-Round Leader Bet: Scottie Scheffler (Top-5 after Round 1) at +320.

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