The Rachman Review Why Russians are still backing Putin
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Sep 12, 2024 In this insightful discussion, Alexander Gabuev, Director of the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, shares his expertise on Russian politics amidst the Ukraine conflict. He highlights how despite Ukraine's advancements, public support for Putin remains strong. Gabuev explores the Russian elite's unease regarding military strategies and the surprising resilience of the economy. He also sheds light on shifting global alliances and the efforts to reduce reliance on the US dollar, reflecting the complex geopolitical landscape shaping Russia's future.
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Putin's War Strategy
- Putin believes a successful offensive in Donbass will set the stage for the 2025 campaign.
- He anticipates hardware shortages by early 2026 and awaits the US election results.
Elite Opinion on Kursk
- The Kursk incursion hasn't significantly shifted Russian elite opinion on the war.
- Those against the war see it as another costly blunder, while supporters downplay its impact.
Russia's Economic Resilience
- Russia's economy has weathered sanctions better than expected, with growth and cash flow.
- Factors include high commodity prices in 2022, new markets, and a robust shadow economy.