Stormy Testimony & Space Wars (with David Ignatius)
May 9, 2024
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Foreign affairs columnist and bestselling spy thriller novelist David Ignatius discusses the space arms race, tech in Ukraine and Gaza wars, and his novel Phantom Orbit. Preet explores Stormy Daniels' testimony and Trump's gag order violations potential consequences.
Concerns arise over potential risks with external dependencies in defense technology and the need for proper legal regimes for space advancements.
Deep dives
The Impact of Starlink in Ukraine's Warfare
Starlink, a part of Elon Musk's SpaceX, with about 5,000 satellites in low Earth orbit, has provided crucial broadband internet links during the war in Ukraine. The initial Russian jamming efforts were thwarted through innovative engineering solutions by Starlink engineers, ensuring communication with Ukrainian forces even in regions previously compromised by Russian signal interference. This technology has enabled crucial intelligence gathering and rapid communication, empowering Ukrainian forces against invaders.
The Role of Commercial Satellite Providers in Information Gathering
Commercial satellite providers have offered Ukraine access to vital intelligence gathering capabilities, including optical images, thermal imaging, and measurement intelligence. Ukraine leverages this commercial data for extensive intelligence analysis, target identification, and subsequent targeting of Russian positions using artillery and missiles. These commercial sources have provided Ukraine with a comprehensive range of actionable intelligence equivalent to that of a superpower.
Challenges and Vulnerabilities of External Technological Dependence
While the technological advancements and support from companies like Starlink have been instrumental in Ukraine's defense strategy, there are concerns about potential risks associated with external technological dependencies. The possibility of a private entity controlling critical warfare capabilities could lead to uncertainties and vulnerabilities. The reliance on private companies, although beneficial, raises questions about long-term stability and strategic decision-making in cases of shifting priorities or business interests.
Space Technology Innovation and National Security
Private entrepreneurs, led by Musk, have transformed the space industry by driving down costs and increasing launch capabilities. The US government lags in developing equivalent technologies, relying on billionaires for critical national security capabilities. Concerns arise about the rapid advancement in defense technology and the need for proper legal regimes for space technologies.
Defensive Dominance in Modern Warfare
The shift in warfare dynamics highlights the importance of defense over offense in modern conflicts. Israel's success in defending against missile strikes showcases the significance of robust defense systems. The need for red teaming and contrarian thinking to challenge assumptions and improve threat assessment is emphasized for better preparedness and prevention of security threats.
David Ignatius is a foreign affairs columnist at The Washington Post and a bestselling spy thriller novelist. He joins Preet to discuss the space arms race, the technology of the wars in Ukraine and Gaza, and his newest novel, Phantom Orbit.
Plus, Preet’s thoughts on Stormy Daniels’ testimony and whether Trump’s gag order violations will land him in jail.
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