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HousingWire Daily
Logan Mohtashami on the labor market for 2025
Mar 10, 2025
Logan Mohtashami, a lead analyst with deep insights into job markets, discusses the implications of the latest jobs report for 2025. He dives into key indicators like employment trends and unemployment forecasts, linking them to the broader economic landscape and mortgage rates. The conversation also tackles how demographic shifts impact labor force growth and housing affordability. Mohtashami further analyzes the effects of federal policies on home purchasing and highlights the contrast in housing dynamics across popular states.
28:35
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Quick takeaways
- The labor market is showing signs of caution with job openings declining and the Fed anticipating an unemployment rate of 4.3%.
- The housing market's potential growth depends on the stability of mortgage rates, which could enhance home sales if they decline.
Deep dives
Labor Market Trends and Forecasts
The discussion emphasizes the current state of the labor market, highlighting that recent job reports showed a slight miss against estimates with revisions indicating negativity. Government job growth is noted, though there are concerns about potential layoffs in the near future. As the unemployment rate experiences a rise, the Fed is highlighted as having set an unemployment target at 4.3%, anticipating job losses if conditions do not improve. This context suggests an overall cautious approach towards labor growth expectations for the upcoming months.
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