3M Open Picks and Predictions

Jul 23, 2025

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Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the 3M Open.
-Discussing top 8 names on odds board
-1 matchup
-2 t10's
-3 outrights (35/1, 70/1, 100/1)
-Sleeper (top 40), 2 lineups
-Scoring, best bet

⛳ Scheffler’s dominance: Claimed his 4th major, now 4-for-4 in closing with a 54-hole lead.

📈 Putting breakthrough: Gained +2 strokes on the field, his second-best putting performance ever in a major.

🏆 FedExCup outlook: Scheffler leads the standings with playoffs starting in three weeks at TPC Southwind.

🎯 Rory’s inconsistency: T7 finish, negative driving accuracy for the third straight event despite solid putting.

💪 Bryson’s comeback: From 78 in round 1 to a 10th-place finish, crushing Scheffler fade bets.

📉 Failed futures: Kim (89th FedEx rank), Theegala (140th), Thompson (72nd) all disappointing in majors.

📊 Henley & Fitzpatrick: Delivered top-10 placements, boosting the week’s betting card.

🛠 TPC Twin Cities profile: Wide, water-laden course requiring long-iron precision and hot putting.

🔥 Betting favorites: Will passes on Sam Burns (18-1), Maverick McNeely (20-1), Wyndham Clark (25-1) due to value concerns.

🔮 Predicted winning score: -19 under soft, rain-aided conditions.

Scheffler’s win (0:35–4:20): Scottie Scheffler triumphed at Royal Portrush with back-to-back positive putting rounds on Thursday and Friday, capped by a final round 68 watched by 4 million viewers.

Career implications (4:20–6:10): At 29 years old, Scheffler now sits tied 22nd in all-time majors (4 total), aiming for a career Grand Slam with only the U.S. Open missing.

Conditions & performance context (6:10–8:05): Favorable weather with minimal wind/rain made Portrush play softer, aiding low scoring. Bryson DeChambeau’s strong final three rounds highlighted how score-friendly conditions were.

Rory & MacIntyre analysis (8:05–10:40): Rory missed a “sub-65” round, while Robert MacIntyre had a statistically positive week except for 3rd-round irons, both finishing T7 (-10).
Justin Thomas struggles (10:40–12:20): Despite excellent iron play & short game, JT lost a full stroke off the tee, continuing his season-long accuracy woes, finishing T34 (-3).
Bryson fade failure (13:20–15:50): After a 78 in round one, DeChambeau rebounded with 65-68-64, finishing T10, spoiling fade bets.
Betting recap (16:00–20:40): Russell Henley cashed a +350 top-10, Matthew Fitzpatrick delivered +333 top-10, while sleeper Christopher Reeding missed top-20 by 2 shots.
Futures review (21:00–25:00): Futures on Tom Kim, Sahith Theegala, and Davis Thompson were failures, collectively costing 3 units.
3M Open preview (26:00–35:40): Course needs long iron ball-strikers (e.g., Finau, Champ), with Will predicting -19 as the winning score under wet but playable conditions.
Best bets & lineups (35:40–41:18): Key wagers include Tony Finau & Cam Champ for top-10s, with outright bets on Michael Thorbjornsen (35-1), Andrew Putnam (70-1), and Austin Eckroat (100-1).

For more on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59

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