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China Global

Balancing Assurances and Threats in the Case of Taiwan: A conversation with Bonnie Glaser, Jessica Chen Weiss, and Thomas Christensen

Dec 12, 2023
Bonnie Glaser, Jessica Chen Weiss, and Thomas Christensen discuss the role of credible assurances in effective deterrence. They emphasize the need for conditioning the threat of punishment and outline necessary actions for the US, China, and Taiwan. The podcast explores the challenges of providing credible assurances, balancing assurances and threats in Taiwan, and maintaining consistent actions and rhetoric.
41:21

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Quick takeaways

  • Assurances, alongside threats, are integral to effective deterrence, emphasizing the need for credible and conditional punishment.
  • China, the U.S., and Taiwan should provide specific assurances to each other to demonstrate peaceful intentions and maintain stability in cross-strait relations.

Deep dives

The Motivation Behind the Article

The authors were motivated to draft the article to address the lack of concrete explanations and details on credible assurances and deterrence in a prior Foreign Affairs article. They wanted to contribute to the conversation by elaborating on the necessary assurances that the United States, China, and Taiwan could provide to each other.

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