Kontrarian Korner

Kontrarian Korner #76 - Rudy Havenstein

Oct 28, 2025
Rudy Havenstein, a financial commentator known for his contrarian views on macroeconomics and the Fed, dives into pressing issues like inflation and market distortions. He critiques the Federal Reserve's influence on inequality and advocates for accountability in politics. Rudy discusses the cultural void left by collapsing traditional values and the rise of nontraditional politicians. He promotes free speech while cautioning against cancel culture and shares insights on investment strategies, emphasizing the risks of private credit and the need for clarity in markets.
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INSIGHT

CPI Masks Real Cost-Of-Living Pain

  • Official CPI understates lived cost increases and masks cumulative price-level rise.
  • Rudy Havenstein emphasizes the index is a near-guarantee to trend upward and doesn't reflect everyday supermarket pain.
ANECDOTE

Missed Bitcoin, Still Holds A Little

  • Rudy recounts missing early Bitcoin due to thinking government would crush it.
  • He says he owns a little now but joked he 'should be a billionaire' for earlier inaction.
INSIGHT

Liquidity Mainly Benefits The Wealthy

  • Fed liquidity and asset-backstops concentrate gains with early recipients (Cantillon effect).
  • Havenstein argues printing benefits the wealthy first, inflating stocks, crypto and real estate while hurting average households.
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