Choiceology with Katy Milkman

Take the Deal! With Guests Daniel Kahneman, Colin Camerer & Luis Green (Rebroadcast)

20 snips
Apr 8, 2024
Guests Daniel Kahneman and Colin Camerer, along with game show contestant Luis Green, discuss the psychology of decision-making in high-stakes situations like Deal or No Deal. Topics include framing decisions based on potential loss or gain, the reflection effect on preferences, and the influence of framing choices on decision-making.
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ANECDOTE

Luis Green's Game Show Gamble

  • Luis Green was offered $333,000 on Deal or No Deal but risked it to try for $750,000.
  • Despite a sure large gain, Luis felt he was losing because he fixated on the million-dollar prize he imagined.
INSIGHT

Reflection Effect Explained

  • Identical decisions framed as gains or losses lead to opposite risk preferences.
  • People are risk-averse with gains but risk-seeking with losses, known as the reflection effect.
INSIGHT

Kahneman on Risk Preferences

  • People prefer riskier gambles to avoid losses, but choose sure things to secure gains.
  • Daniel Kahneman explains this is natural and not necessarily a bias, but it can cause inconsistent choices.
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