Decoding Geopolitics Podcast with Dominik Presl #91 Nigel Gould-Davies: Why Russia Is Running Out of Time in Ukraine
Nov 10, 2025
In this engaging discussion, Nigel Gould-Davies, a senior research fellow at the International Institute for Strategic Studies and former UK diplomat, highlights Russia's shifting strategy in the Ukraine war. He argues that Moscow is losing its time advantage, prompting a more aggressive stance. Gould-Davies explores how Western support for Ukraine and Russia's economic strains are shaping the conflict's trajectory. He also critiques Putin's missed diplomatic opportunities and assesses the implications of NATO's military commitments for Europe's security.
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War Hinges On External Support
- Nigel Gould-Davies argues the war's outcome depends heavily on external states' willingness to support Ukraine or Russia.
- He highlights China and North Korea as decisive enablers for Russia and Europe/North America for Ukraine.
Putin Missed A Major Diplomatic Opening
- Gould-Davies says Putin failed to exploit Trump's return to the White House as a diplomatic opportunity.
- That failure reduced Russian prospects for a favorable shift in US policy.
Europe's GDP Means Military Leverage
- NATO's commitment to raise defense spending creates a looming material advantage over Russia.
- Even modest increases in European defense spending would produce a vast superiority in capability.
