HousingWire Daily

Logan Mohtashami on how the trade war is impacting mortgage rates

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Apr 30, 2025
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INSIGHT

Trade War Volatility and Bond Yields

  • The trade war caused significant volatility in bond yields, including sharp drops when tariffs increased.
  • Markets are spooked but currently favor progressing to trade deals, reflected by stable yields around 4.17%.
INSIGHT

Tariffs Worsen Mortgage Rates

  • Trade war tariffs increased mortgage rate spreads by about 20 basis points, raising average rates from around 6.55% to 6.80%.
  • If trade deals proceed, mortgage rates could decrease, easing housing market conditions.
ADVICE

Mortgage Professionals Should Focus

  • Mortgage professionals should focus on clients and controllable factors despite rate volatility.
  • Emphasize purchase loans over refinancing as refi demand has diminished with current rates.
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