Simplifying Complexity Exploring societal collapse - Part 1
Jul 7, 2025
Marten Scheffer, a Professor at Wageningen University and an External Professor at the Santa Fe Institute, dives into the dynamics of societal collapse. He highlights key tipping points that trigger the downfall of civilizations, drawing parallels to ecological systems. Historical examples show how environmental changes spark social unrest, while crises often benefit the powerful. Scheffer discusses resilience, the role of elite disconnection, and how inclusive institutions can promote stability, offering a rich exploration of complex societal dynamics.
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Lake Restoration by Fish Removal
- Removing fish from turbid lakes briefly can clear the water by boosting zooplankton that eat algae.
- Returning fish after vegetation grows stabilizes the clear state, preventing a turbid relapse.
Complex Causes of Societal Collapse
- Many historical societal collapses appear sudden despite long prior stability.
- Factors beyond climate, including social and political resilience, contribute to fragility over time.
Late Bronze Age Collapse Example
- The Late Bronze Age collapse involved a network of Mediterranean civilizations collapsing due to drought and disrupted grain trade.
- This collapse caused dark ages with lost writing systems and societal upheaval.