The Gist They Found Navalny, And We Found Bernoulli
Dec 27, 2023
Russian dissident Alexi Navalny is located in a cold and inescapable place, but manages to make Christmas jokes. The podcast also features an interview with Aubrey Clayton, author of Bernoulli's Fallacy, discussing flawed theories of probability, limitations of Bernoulli's Golden Theorem, Bayesian analysis vs frequentist statistics, assigning probabilities in decision-making, and the replication crisis in science.
Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Introduction
00:00 • 6min
The Monty Hall Problem and Flawed Theories of Probability
05:50 • 9min
Exploring Bernoulli's Golden Theorem and its Limitations
14:52 • 6min
Bayesian Analysis vs Frequentist Statistics
20:47 • 9min
A conversation with Aubrey Clayton and a Sponsor Ad
29:52 • 2min
Assigning Probabilities in Decision-Making and the Replication Crisis
32:01 • 6min
Bayesian Analysis and Prior Skepticism in Psychology Research
37:44 • 4min