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614. Understanding the Great Divergence: Europe vs China from 1000 to 2000 feat. Guido Tabellini

10 snips
Jan 23, 2026
Guido Tabellini, professor of Political Economics at Bocconi and co-author of Two Paths to Prosperity, explores why Europe and China diverged from 1000–2000. He discusses a reversal of fortunes, the roles of corporations versus clans, state capacity and fragmentation, how religion shaped cooperation with strangers, and the institutional roots shaping modern development.
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INSIGHT

Great Reversal, Not Sudden Divergence

  • Tabellini reframes the Great Divergence as a great reversal: China led in 1000 and Europe later overtook it.
  • The seeds of Europe's rise trace to medieval institutional and cultural shifts long before the Industrial Revolution.
INSIGHT

State Capacity Is Shaped From Below

  • State capacity differences matter but are endogenous and shaped by intermediate organizations and culture.
  • Inclusive local institutions in Europe co-evolved with weaker sovereigns to build stronger long-run state capacity.
INSIGHT

Corporations, Knowledge, And Innovation

  • Corporations and traditions of cooperating with strangers allowed Europe to transfer private practices into public governance.
  • China's strong centralized state directed knowledge and constrained the independent scientific communities that later fueled Europe's Industrial Revolution.
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