"The Pope," a revered Dutch art expert, fell for a not very convincing forgery of a "lost" Vermeer masterpiece. The forger also duped high ranking Nazi Hermann Göring. The story highlights the power of wishful thinking and how knowledge and intelligence may not always protect us from being deceived.
Deep expertise can be overshadowed by emotions and the desire to believe something is true.
Skilled con artists can exploit the emotional desires and biases of experts, leading them to overlook obvious signs of forgery.
Deep dives
The Power of Wishful Thinking and Expertise
Abraham Bradyus, an art critic and expert on Vermeer, fell victim to wishful thinking when he was presented with a forgery by Han Van Megerin. Despite some red flags, Bradyus desperately wanted the painting to be a Vermeer masterpiece that would fill a gap in Vermeer's oeuvre. This example highlights how deep expertise can be overshadowed by emotions and the desire to believe something is true.
Motivated Reasoning and the Influence of Hopes
Various studies, including one by Guy Metcalf, have shown that wishful thinking and motivated reasoning can lead individuals to believe what they want to be true, even in the face of contradictory evidence. The study found that people's forecasts about future wheat prices were influenced by their financial interests, leading them to predict outcomes aligned with their desired financial gain. This phenomenon is not limited to financial decisions but can also be observed in other areas, such as politics.
How Han Van Megerin Fooled the Experts
Han Van Megerin successfully deceived experts, including Abraham Bradyus, with his forged Vermeer paintings. Van Megerin utilized various clever tactics to make the forgeries appear genuine, such as using 17th-century materials, duplicating Vermeer's color palette, and even hardening the paint with Bakelite. This case highlights the ability of skilled con artists to exploit the emotional desires and biases of experts, ultimately leading them to overlook obvious signs of forgery.
The Disturbing Truth about Han Van Megerin
While Han Van Megerin is often depicted as a lovable rogue who fooled the Nazis, he was, in fact, an enthusiastic Nazi supporter himself. His art forgeries and his sinister book, "Taken Ingan-1," filled with anti-Semitic content and imagery, exposed his true allegiance. However, Van Megerin cleverly reshaped his narrative after the war, presenting himself as a patriotic hero who outsmarted the Nazis. This tale serves as a cautionary reminder of how manipulative individuals can shape public perception and rewrite their own history.
"The Pope" was a revered Dutch art expert - and yet he fell for a not very convincing forgery of a "lost" Vermeer masterpiece. The forger had duped other art connoisseurs too - including the high ranking Nazi Hermann Göring. But perhaps Han van Meegeren's biggest con was to convince the Dutch public that he was a cheeky resistance hero.
We assume knowledge and intelligence can protect us from being duped - but often they are not enough to save us from the fraudster's greatest ally - our own wishful thinking.