The Lawfare Podcast Lawfare Daily: A Ukraine Update with Eric Ciaramella and Anastasiia Lapatina
Nov 29, 2024
Join Eric Ciaramella, an expert at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, and Anastasiia Lapatina, Lawfare's Ukraine Fellow, as they discuss the evolving conflict in Ukraine. Despite recent missile escalations, Ukrainian optimism shines through the uncertainty surrounding U.S. political changes. The duo analyzes the complexities of military strategies and the effects of foreign policy, including challenges in Kursk and Donetsk. They also explore the potential for strengthening Ukraine's defense production by drawing lessons from Israel’s military model.
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Missile Launch Reaction
- Russia launched a missile at Dnipro, causing minimal damage and no casualties.
- Westerners in Ukraine panicked more than Ukrainians, highlighting differing threat perceptions.
Escalation as Political Signaling
- Russia's missile launch was primarily a political signal, not a militarily significant event.
- They aim to influence both current and future US administrations regarding the war.
Russia's Changed Nuclear Doctrine
- Russia lowered the threshold for nuclear weapon use, expanding it to conventional attacks threatening their sovereignty.
- This change in doctrine raises concerns about potential nuclear escalation.