Bet The Process

Ryder Cup Recap and Sean Zerillo talks MLB Playoffs | Sponsored by Novig

Oct 2, 2025
Sean Zerillo, a baseball betting analyst at The Action Network, dives into the world of MLB playoff strategies. He shares insights on maintaining conviction during tough seasons and where to find an edge in betting. Zerillo discusses the significance of process data in pitch selection and swing decisions. He highlights the Mariners and Dodgers as value picks for playoff futures, while also emphasizing why wild card unders have been profitable. Don't miss his take on the Blue Jays' surprising playoff potential!
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INSIGHT

Process Beats Vibes

  • Jeff Ma and Rufus stress quantifiable process over vague "vibes" when evaluating team performance and decisions.
  • Small, repeatable process gains (e.g., pairing choices) matter more than unmeasurable chemistry in outcomes.
ADVICE

Don't Cluster Top Players

  • Avoid pairing your two best players together in formats where you need variance to catch up.
  • Spread top talent to increase independent scoring opportunities instead of clustering certainty.
INSIGHT

Conviction Shows In Small Details

  • Clear preparation and consistent process (e.g., tee order in alternate shot) signal conviction and reduce costly in-event confusion.
  • Lack of a communicated, rehearsed plan can magnify mistakes in high-pressure formats.
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