Today in Focus Do Israel and Iran really want to go to war?
Oct 4, 2024
In this engaging discussion, Patrick Wintour, The Guardian's diplomatic editor, delves into the high-stakes shadow war between Israel and Iran. He analyzes the recent missile attacks and the implications of Iran's proxy strategies. Wintour sheds light on the internal dynamics in Iran, including socio-political factors that shape public sentiment towards Israel. He also explores Iran's alliances with global powers like Russia and China, and the grim humanitarian crisis escalating across the region. The future remains uncertain, with potential for both confrontation and resolution.
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Iran's Internal Conflict
- Iran's new president, Ebrahim Raisi, wasn't eager to attack Israel.
- However, pressure from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps forced his hand due to Iran's perceived credibility being at stake.
Why Iran Avoids Total War
- Iran avoids direct, large-scale conflict with Israel due to a significant military disadvantage.
- Israel's potential alliances with the US and other nations could overwhelm Iran in a high-tech war.
Roots of the Conflict
- The 1979 Iranian revolution dramatically shifted Iran's stance on Israel, viewing it as a US-backed entity.
- Iran aims to diminish US influence in the Middle East, believing this will lead to regional peace.