The Jordan B. Peterson Podcast 338. The Epidemic That Dare Not Speak Its Name | Stephen J Shaw
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Mar 9, 2023 Stephen J Shaw, data scientist and filmmaker, sheds light on the pressing issue of declining birth rates in his conversation with Jordan B. Peterson. They explore the societal implications of the 'Birthgap,' including potential societal collapse and emotional toll on individuals. Shaw discusses the complex interplay of personal choices and demographic shifts, touching on the impacts of real estate crises and aging populations. The episode dives deep into topics like education and career choices affecting reproduction, alongside the loneliness experienced by seniors without family support.
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Declining Birth Rates: A Downward Spiral
- Birth rates below replacement level create a downward spiral, decreasing each generation unless birth rates change.
- Historically, there are no examples of low birth rates returning to replacement level naturally.
Childlessness vs. Family Size
- Family structure, or the number of children per family, remains consistent despite declining birth rates.
- The primary driver of declining birth rates is an increase in childlessness, not smaller family sizes.
The Baby Shock of the 1970s
- In Japan, Germany, and Italy, a "baby shock" occurred in the early 1970s with a rapid increase in childlessness.
- This shift from 3% to over 30% in just four years highlights a dramatic societal change.
