The view from Tehran: Iran's VP Zarif on Israel, Gaza & US complicity in ongoing conflicts
Oct 5, 2024
auto_awesome
Mohammad Javad Zarif, Iran's former foreign minister and a key figure in international negotiations, sheds light on the escalating tensions in the Middle East, particularly between Israel and Iran. He discusses the implications of recent military actions and Iran's right to self-defense. Zarif also reflects on how U.S. elections may affect Iran's standing, dismissing assassination rumors as political maneuvering. Additionally, he examines Iran's evolving relationship with Russia amidst global tensions, all while navigating the complexities of regional conflicts.
Zarif highlights that the October 7th attacks exposed Israel's vulnerabilities, shifting regional dynamics and restoring confidence in Arab nations against Israeli military might.
Despite military provocations, Iran's strategic patience reflects a calculated response to avoid conflict escalation while asserting its right to self-defense and territorial integrity.
Deep dives
The Myth of Israeli Invincibility
The perception of Israeli military invincibility has been significantly undermined in light of recent conflicts, particularly the October 7th attacks by Hamas. Former Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif emphasizes that Israel's inability to achieve its objectives in Gaza reveals its vulnerabilities, challenging its longstanding narrative. Despite Israel's military might, the resilience shown by groups like Hamas has shifted the regional dynamics, instilling newfound confidence among Arab nations. Zarif argues that this evolution illustrates that terrorism cannot equate to invincibility and that the Arab world is beginning to recognize its capacity to withstand Israeli military actions.
Changes in Global Perception and Victimization
The Israeli narrative of victimhood has been eroded, particularly after incidents like the bombing of the Shifa hospital in Gaza, which contradicted claims that Israel was acting solely in self-defense. Zarif contends that the extensive civilian casualties and humanitarian suffering in Gaza have shifted the focus of the international community back to the Palestinian cause, which has regained prominence after being sidelined for years. The framing of Israel as a victim fails to resonate in light of these events, suggesting a need for a reevaluation of how Israel constructs its global story. This loss of victimization renders Israel's foreign policy more precarious, with its narrative struggling to justify violence, especially among Arab nations.
Iran's Strategic Restraint and Regional Dynamics
Despite ongoing military provocations, Iran has exercised significant restraint in its responses, mindful of the broader geopolitical implications of escalating conflict with Israel. Zarif indicates that Iran chooses to respond selectively, utilizing strategic patience to avoid falling into traps set by escalating tensions. He notes that although Iran possesses the capability to retaliate, it has refrained from causing mass casualties in its military responses, demonstrating a calculated approach. This restraint, however, does not diminish Iran's commitment to defending its territory and interests, signaling a complex interplay of power in the region that must be navigated carefully to prevent escalatory spirals.
The Middle East finds itself teetering on the brink of a full-scale regional conflict as the world marks one year since the October 7th Hamas attacks. Israel has intensified its military operations against Iran-backed forces across multiple fronts, leaving destruction in its wake. In the span of a week, the assassination of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah and Israel’s ground offensive into Lebanon have thrown gasoline on an already raging fire.
On this episode of the GZERO World Podcast, Ian Bremmer sits down with Iran's Vice President for Strategic Affairs Mohammad Javad Zarif, just before the Nasrallah assassination news broke. They discuss Iran's recent actions during this critical time. In their conversation, Zarif discusses the conflict’s broader regional impact, Iran’s right to self-defense, and its determination that Iran will not fall into Israel’s “trap.” Zarif also weighs in on the upcoming US presidential election, speculating on whether a Harris or Trump administration would benefit Iran, and addresses the rumors of an alleged Iranian plot to assassinate former President Donald Trump. He says, "We don’t send people to assassinate people. I think it’s a campaign ploy." Zarif adds that, despite the new Iranian President’s pledge for a rapprochement with the West, recent developments have only driven the wedge further. And with Israel now in northern Lebanon, Iran now stands at a crossroads of what to do next.