Sir Robin Niblett from Chatham House discusses a potential US-China Cold War with James Lindsay. They delve into the implications for global alliances, reflect on parallels with the US-Soviet Cold War, and analyze foreign policy choices in global affairs. They explore the dynamics of a new Cold War, touching on trade, alliances, and nuclear arms.
The U.S.-China Cold War stems from both traditional power rivalry and an ideological clash between centralized governance and democratic systems.
Global shifts in alignments and the emergence of the 'axis of the aggrieved,' including China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea, reflect shared grievances against Western powers.
Deep dives
U.S.-China Cold War Dynamics
The U.S.-China Cold War is characterized by a rising power challenging the existing major power. Apart from traditional power rivalry, an ideological divide exists between the centralized governance model of China's Communist Party and the bottom-up, democratic systems in the U.S. and Europe.
Global Impact of U.S.-China Competition
The U.S.-China competition extends globally, with fears of China undermining democratic systems. Examples like China's technological advancements and concerns about TikTok suggest attempts to influence democracies. This competition is driven by deep ideological differences, making mutual trust challenging.
Alliances and Global Alignment
Global alignments are shifting, with the formation of an 'axis of the aggrieved' involving China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea. This alliance reflects shared grievances against Western powers. The China-Russia partnership, though complex, is sustained by a common aim to counter U.S. influence.
Risk of Escalation and Conflict
The U.S.-China Cold War poses risks of escalation, as seen in territorial disputes like the South China Sea and Taiwan. Tensions are fueled by conflicting sovereignty claims and security concerns. Managing these flashpoints is crucial to prevent the Cold War from turning hot.
Sir Robin Niblett, distinguished fellow at Chatham House, sits down with James M. Lindsay to discuss a potential second Cold War between the United States and China.