Forward Guidance The Trump Put Is In The Bond Market | Weekly Roundup
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Apr 11, 2025 This week features a thrilling dive into market turbulence, highlighting the panic and margin calls affecting traders. The discussion also sheds light on China's tariff strategies and how these geopolitical tensions impact the global economy. Expectations from the Fed and insights into the current bond market, amidst rising yields and inflation, are explored. Plus, there's a tantalizing mention of Bitcoin potentially soaring to new heights by 2025, all while navigating the complexities of fiscal policies.
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Navigating Market Panics
- Close your shorts when markets panic and margin calls happen.
- Scale in during uncertainty and look for capitulatory points.
Bessent's Influence
Secretary Bessent orchestrates policy, with Trump adding his spin. Trump's strategy involves pushing until financial instability forces action.
US Spending Problem
The US spending problem, not revenue, drives bond market instability. No politician wants to cut spending, making the situation difficult.