Ukraine Peace Talks in Paris / Lt Col Daniel Davis & Steve Jermy

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Russian Military Dominance: The speaker argues that Russia is clearly dominating the battlefield and that the West lacks the military and industrial capacity to effectively counter it in the short to medium term.

European Military Limitations: European forces are underprepared and underfunded. Even if political consensus existed, Europe would need 5–10 years of significant military buildup—doubling spending and expanding industrial production—to match Russia’s capabilities.

Russian Mobilization Capacity: Russia may be preparing for a summer offensive or simply planning strategically. They reportedly have a reserve force of up to 5 million and the infrastructure to scale up mobilization within six months.

Strategic Intentions: There's debate over whether Russia wants to expand further into Europe. Some believe Putin desires buffer states rather than outright territorial expansion, mostly to prevent NATO encroachment—a long-standing concern voiced since the 1990s.

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