539. Mick Ryan - How China Benefits from the Long War in Ukraine and New Age of Darkness for Democracies.

Mick Ryan is a retired major general in the Australian Army. A graduate of the Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies and the U.S. Marine Corps University Command and Staff College and School of Advanced Warfighting. He has commanded at platoon, squadron, regiment, task force, and brigade level. In January 2018, he assumed command of the Australian Defence College in Canberra, Australia. In 2021 he was an adjunct scholar at the Modern War Institute. He completed his 35-year career with the Australian Army and transitioned to the Army Reserve as a major general on February 27, 2022. His book, War Transformed, was published in 2022, ‘White Sun War: The Campaign for Taiwan’ was published in 2023, and his latest book "The War for Ukraine: Strategy and Adaptation Under Fire", will be released on 13th August 2023. ---------- CHAPTERS: 00:02:52 This isn't a primary school sports tournament where you have non-competitive sports.
00:05:34 Putin started a war that got away from him. He was the dog that caught the car.
00:08:14 Putin has been able to cheaply and easily manipulate electoral cycles in the West.
00:11:13 Perception of an existential threat drove the British response in the Second World War.
00:13:11 Authoritarians no longer believe West capable of standing up against their aggression.
00:15:09 North Korean army has army of 1m plus. 5,000 a month is pocket change for them.
00:18:37 Putin knows that a lot of Americans have lost patience with the war in Ukraine.
00:21:52 Most wars are aggregation of past wars’ tactics - 90% the last war and 10% new stuff.
00:28:39 The notion a wonder weapon can change the entire trajectory of the war is a fantasy.
00:30:39 Conventional deterrence has broken down – we need to reinvest thinking about it.
00:35:57 Zelensky understands his country is at threat of being extinguished by Russia.
---------- LINKS: https://x.com/WarintheFuture https://mickryan.substack.com/ https://www.csis.org/people/mick-ryan https://mwi.westpoint.edu/adjunct-scholars/mick-ryan/ https://x.com/LowyInstitute https://x.com/CSIS ---------- BOOKS: War Transformed: The Future of Twenty-First-Century Great Power Competition and Conflict Hardcover (2022) White Sun War: The Campaign for Taiwan (2023) The War for Ukraine: Strategy and Adaptation Under Fire (2024) ---------- ARTICLES: https://www.forces.net/ukraine/death-thousand-cuts-warns-former-general-ukraine-war-enters-new-phase https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-is-more-dangerous-than-when-it-first-invaded-strategist-2024-4 https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2024/07/04/it-took-russia-three-months-and-thousands-of-lives-to-capture-one-isolated-ukrainian-neighborhood/ https://edition.cnn.com/videos/world/2024/02/02/exp-mick-ryan-interview-fst-020202aseg1.cnn https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/ukraine-war-how-check-russia-s-momentum ---------- SUPPORT THE CHANNEL: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain https://www.patreon.com/siliconcurtain ---------- TRUSTED CHARITIES ON THE GROUND: kharpp - Reconstruction project supporting communities in Kharkiv and Przemyśl https://kharpp.com/ Save Ukraine https://www.saveukraineua.org/ Superhumans - Hospital for war traumas https://superhumans.com/en/ UNBROKEN - Treatment. Prosthesis. Rehabilitation for Ukrainians in Ukraine https://unbroken.org.ua/ Come Back Alive https://savelife.in.ua/en/ Chefs For Ukraine - World Central Kitchen https://wck.org/relief/activation-chefs-for-ukraine Ukrainian Freedom News https://www.ukrainianfreedomnews.com/donation/ UNITED24 - An initiative of President Zelenskyy https://u24.gov.ua/ Serhiy Prytula Charity Foundation https://prytulafoundation.org NGO “Herojam Slava” https://heroiamslava.org/ NOR DOG Animal Rescue https://www.nor-dog.org/home/ ----------