Silicon Curtain

Jonathan Fink
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Jan 31, 2026 • 12min

Is the Laundering of Russian Oil About to End as India DUMPS Russia?

2026-01-31 | UPDATES #122 | Is India “dumping” Russian oil… or just re-routing for the sake of optics? Today’s story sounds simple — “India is dumping Russian oil as it seals a historic deal with the EU.” But the reality is messier — and honestly, more damning.On January 27, the EU and India concluded a long-awaited free trade agreement — described by EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen on X as: “the mother of all deals.” (X (formerly Twitter))That same day, EU leaders framed it as a geopolitical signal in a reshuffled world order — European Council President António Costa called it a “historic moment,” and stressed the EU and India as “strategic and reliable partners.” (Consilium)----------SUPPORT THE CHANNEL:https://www.buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtainhttps://www.patreon.com/siliconcurtainhttps://www.gofundme.com/f/scaling-up-campaign-to-fight-authoritarian-disinformation----------A REQUEST FOR HELP!I'm heading back to Kyiv this week, to film, do research and conduct interviews. The logistics and need for equipment and clothing are a little higher than for my previous trips. It will be cold, and may be dark also. If you can, please assist to ensure I can make this trip a success. My commitment to the audience of the channel, will be to bring back compelling interviews conducted in Ukraine, and to use the experience to improve the quality of the channel, it's insights and impact. Let Ukraine and democracy prevail! https://buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain/extrashttps://www.patreon.com/siliconcurtainhttps://www.gofundme.com/f/scaling-up-campaign-to-fight-authoritarian-disinformationNONE OF THIS CAN HAPPEN WITHOUT YOU!So what's next? We're going to Kyiv in January 2026 to film on the ground, and will record interviews with some huge guests. We'll be creating opportunities for new interviews, and to connect you with the reality of a European city under escalating winter attack, from an imperialist, genocidal power. PLEASE HELP ME ME TO GROW SILICON CURTAINWe are planning our events for 2026, and to do more and have a greater impact. After achieving more than 12 events in 2025, we will aim to double that! 24 events and interviews on the ground in Ukraine, to push back against weaponized information, toxic propaganda and corrosive disinformation. Please help us make it happen!----------SOURCES: Reuters (Jan 29, 2026) — India's Reliance to buy up to 150,000 bpd of Russian oil from Februaryhttps://www.reuters.com/business/energy/indias-reliance-buy-up-150000-bpd-russian-oil-february-2026-01-29/Reuters (Jan 28, 2026) — Bessent says disappointed by EU-India deal; South Korea must ratify trade deal - https://www.reuters.com/business/bessent-says-disappointed-by-eu-india-deal-south-korea-must-ratify-trade-deal-2026-01-28/Reuters (Jan 27, 2026) — Indian diesel exports to West Africa jump as EU bans Russian crude-derived fuel - https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/boards-policy-regulation/indian-diesel-exports-west-africa-jump-eu-bans-russian-crude-derived-fuel-2026-01-27/Reuters (Jan 27, 2026) — Details of EU-India trade deal - https://www.reuters.com/world/india/details-eu-india-trade-deal-tariffs-quotas-market-access-2026-01-27/Council of the EU (Jan 27, 2026) — Press statement by President António Costa following the EU-India summit (PDF) - https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press-releases/2026/01/27/press-statement-by-president-antonio-costa-following-the-eu-india-summit/pdf/Reuters (Jan 14, 2026) — Russia's oil and gas budget revenue falls 24% to lowest since 2020https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/russias-oil-gas-budget-revenue-falls-24-lowest-since-2020-2026-01-15/----------
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Jan 31, 2026 • 58min

943. Trump's Washington: He is with the Swamp and the Swamp is with Him

David DeBatto is host of the ‘No Delusion Zone’ podcast @NoDelusionZone is a retired U.S. Army Counterintelligence Special Agent, a geopolitical analyst, writer, and podcaster. David is an Iraq war veteran who served as Team Leader of a Tactical Human Intelligence Team (THT) in operations within Iraq and is also a former police officer. David is considered too conservative for the progressive left and too independent minded for the radical right and seeks to challenge political dogma and the naked self-interest of politicians. ----------LINKS:@NoDelusionZone https://www.protectingtherepublic.com/podcasthttps://x.com/ddebattohttps://www.kyivpost.com/authors/743----------This is super important. There are so many Battalions in Ukraine, fighting to defend our freedoms, but lack basics such as vehicles. These are destroyed on a regular basis, and lack of transport is costs lives, and Ukrainian territory. Once again Silicon Curtain has teamed up with Car4Ukraine and a group of wonderful creators to provide much-needed assistance: https://car4ukraine.com/campaigns/autumn-harvest-silicon-curtainAutumn Harvest: Silicon Curtain (Goal€22,000)We'll be supporting troops in Pokrovsk, Kharkiv, and other regions where the trucks are needed the most. 93rd Brigade "Kholodnyi Yar", Black Raven Unmanned Systems Battalionhttps://car4ukraine.com/campaigns/autumn-harvest-silicon-curtain----------SILICON CURTAIN LIVE EVENTS - FUNDRAISER CAMPAIGN Events in 2025 - Advocacy for a Ukrainian victory with Silicon Curtainhttps://buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain/extrasOur events of the first half of the year in Lviv, Kyiv and Odesa were a huge success. Now we need to maintain this momentum, and change the tide towards a Ukrainian victory. The Silicon Curtain Roadshow is an ambitious campaign to run a minimum of 12 events in 2025, and potentially many more. Any support you can provide for the fundraising campaign would be gratefully appreciated. https://buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain/extras----------SUPPORT THE CHANNEL:https://www.buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtainhttps://www.patreon.com/siliconcurtain----------TRUSTED CHARITIES ON THE GROUND:Save Ukrainehttps://www.saveukraineua.org/Superhumans - Hospital for war traumashttps://superhumans.com/en/UNBROKEN - Treatment. Prosthesis. Rehabilitation for Ukrainians in Ukrainehttps://unbroken.org.ua/Come Back Alivehttps://savelife.in.ua/en/Chefs For Ukraine - World Central Kitchenhttps://wck.org/relief/activation-chefs-for-ukraineUNITED24 - An initiative of President Zelenskyyhttps://u24.gov.ua/Serhiy Prytula Charity Foundationhttps://prytulafoundation.orgNGO “Herojam Slava”https://heroiamslava.org/kharpp - Reconstruction project supporting communities in Kharkiv and Przemyślhttps://kharpp.com/NOR DOG Animal Rescuehttps://www.nor-dog.org/home/----------
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Jan 31, 2026 • 55min

942. Russia's Global Power and Influence is Collapsing Under Putin!

Megi Benia is a Georgian diplomat and security and foreign policy professional specialising in Russia’s influence operations, NATO’s collective defence posture, international cybersecurity, resilience, and transatlantic affairs. She currently serves as a Contributing Editor of New Eastern Europe. At the same time, she is an Associate Fellow at the University of Georgia’s Security, Policy and Nationalism Research Center (UGSPN) and a Researcher of South-East Europe and Black Sea Region Programme for the Platform for Peace and Humanity. She is also a member of the EU CyberNet Expert Pool and a PhD candidate at Tbilisi State University, where her doctoral research examines Cybersecurity in NATO’s Strategic Doctrine: Applicability of Collective Defense to Cyberspace. As a researcher and public commentator, Ms. Benia analyses Russia’s evolving hybrid toolkit, U.S.-Russia strategic competition, and Black Sea regional security. She contributes to international policy discussions through op-eds, research papers, expert commentary, conference moderation, and media engagement. She is also active in academia and professional education, currently lecturing at Caucasus University, and previously teaching at the University of Georgia. She has authored multiple publications on Euro-Atlantic security, cyber diplomacy, resilience, disinformation, NATO’s strategic adaptation, and arms control.----------LINKS:https://www.linkedin.com/in/megibenia/https://x.com/megibeniahttps://independent.academia.edu/MegiBeniahttps://neweasterneurope.eu/2025/08/25/as-georgia-dismantles-its-civil-service-the-kremlin-watches-and-wins/ https://gssr.georgetown.edu/the-forum/topics/technology/the-digital-shield-using-cyber-diplomacy-to-strengthen-national-cyber-resilience/ ----------SILICON CURTAIN LIVE EVENTS - FUNDRAISER CAMPAIGN Events in 2026 - Advocacy for a Ukrainian victory with Silicon Curtainhttps://buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain/extrasOur first live events this year in Lviv and Kyiv were a huge success. Now we need to maintain this momentum, and change the tide towards a Ukrainian victory. The Silicon Curtain Roadshow is an ambitious campaign to run a minimum of 12 events in 2025, and potentially many more. We may add more venues to the program, depending on the success of the fundraising campaign. https://buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain/extrasWe need to scale up our support for Ukraine, and these events are designed to have a major impact. Your support in making it happen is greatly appreciated. All events will be recorded professionally and published for free on the Silicon Curtain channel. Where possible, we will also live-stream events.https://buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain/extras----------SUPPORT THE CHANNEL:https://www.buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtainhttps://www.patreon.com/siliconcurtain----------TRUSTED CHARITIES ON THE GROUND:Save Ukrainehttps://www.saveukraineua.org/Superhumans - Hospital for war traumashttps://superhumans.com/en/UNBROKEN - Treatment. Prosthesis. Rehabilitation for Ukrainians in Ukrainehttps://unbroken.org.ua/Come Back Alivehttps://savelife.in.ua/en/Chefs For Ukraine - World Central Kitchenhttps://wck.org/relief/activation-chefs-for-ukraineUNITED24 - An initiative of President Zelenskyyhttps://u24.gov.ua/Serhiy Prytula Charity Foundationhttps://prytulafoundation.org----------
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Jan 31, 2026 • 11min

Putin's Catastrophic Infantry Shortage - Triggers Recruitment Crisis!

2026-01-31 | UPDATES #121 | Russia raids elite branches of the military to feed the infantry — while casualties spike and “mobilization” stays politically radioactive. Some units becoming elite drone pilots, but the bulk of the ‘raw meat’ that Putin is trying to funnel into the army are still being expended in high-casualty, low-impact meat-wave attacks that result in catastrophic losses. Russia’s war machine is doing something armies do when they’re bleeding out: it’s consuming its own elite troops and specialists on senseless tactics that delivery little result. New reporting says Moscow is pulling people from the Strategic Missile Forces — yes, the nuclear deterrent branch — plus the Navy and Aerospace Forces and sending them into Ukraine as ordinary infantry. (Euromaidan Press) As well as being strategically insane, this smacks of absolute desperation on the part of Putin. At the same time, multiple outlets are examining the same grisly details: Russia’s losses are now so extreme that analysts say the Kremlin faces a basic choice — another mobilization or accept a military that’s increasingly hollowed out and running on fumes.----------SUPPORT THE CHANNEL:https://www.buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtainhttps://www.patreon.com/siliconcurtainhttps://www.gofundme.com/f/scaling-up-campaign-to-fight-authoritarian-disinformation----------A REQUEST FOR HELP!I'm heading back to Kyiv this week, to film, do research and conduct interviews. The logistics and need for equipment and clothing are a little higher than for my previous trips. It will be cold, and may be dark also. If you can, please assist to ensure I can make this trip a success. My commitment to the audience of the channel, will be to bring back compelling interviews conducted in Ukraine, and to use the experience to improve the quality of the channel, it's insights and impact. Let Ukraine and democracy prevail! https://buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain/extrashttps://www.patreon.com/siliconcurtainhttps://www.gofundme.com/f/scaling-up-campaign-to-fight-authoritarian-disinformationNONE OF THIS CAN HAPPEN WITHOUT YOU!So what's next? We're going to Kyiv in January 2026 to film on the ground, and will record interviews with some huge guests. We'll be creating opportunities for new interviews, and to connect you with the reality of a European city under escalating winter attack, from an imperialist, genocidal power. PLEASE HELP ME ME TO GROW SILICON CURTAINWe are planning our events for 2026, and to do more and have a greater impact. After achieving more than 12 events in 2025, we will aim to double that! 24 events and interviews on the ground in Ukraine, to push back against weaponized information, toxic propaganda and corrosive disinformation. Please help us make it happen!----------SOURCES: Euromaidan Press (Jan 29, 2026) — “Russia strips nuclear forces, Navy, and Air Force to fill infantry ranks — military expert” - https://euromaidanpress.com/2026/01/29/russia-infantry-manpower-shortage-elite-forces/The New Voice of Ukraine (Jan 2026) — “When even the navy goes infantry” (analysis context)https://english.nv.ua/opinion/how-russia-is-gutting-elite-branches-to-feed-the-infantry-50579384.htmlMeduza (Jan 29, 2026) — “Russia’s military losses… Yet re-deployed wounded obscure the true toll”https://meduza.io/en/feature/2026/01/29/russia-s-military-losses-in-ukraine-surpass-any-major-power-since-wwii-yet-re-deployed-wounded-obscure-the-true-tollKyiv Independent (Jan 28, 2026) — CSIS summary + “more losses than any major power since WWII” - https://kyivindependent.com/russia-has-suffered-more-losses-than-any-major-power-since-world-war-ii-report-says/Associated Press (Jan 28, 2026) — CSIS casualty estimates; slow advanceshttps://apnews.com/article/dd4fae88202ba92cafd59455da69dedc----------
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Jan 31, 2026 • 11min

How is This Not the Main News? The Clown Coup is Here and Now

2026-01-30 | UPDATES #120 | FBI raid on Georgia’s Fulton County elections hub — ballots seized, intelligence chief on scene, and why critics say this is about elections in 2026 not those of 2020. This is one of those stories that should be wall-to-wall — because it goes to the bloodstream of democracy: elections, and an absolute rupture of normal practice with regards to an historic ballot. This week, the FBI executed a search warrant at Fulton County’s Election Hub and Operations Centre in Union City, Georgia, and hauled away hundreds of boxes of 2020 election materials — including ballots and election records. (Reuters)The fear is this is being done, not to find evidence of fraud, but to manufacture and plant evidence of this. Here’s the part that should shock you: Tulsi Gabbard — the Director of National Intelligence — was physically present at the scene. (Reuters)----------SUPPORT THE CHANNEL:https://www.buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtainhttps://www.patreon.com/siliconcurtain----------SOURCES: Reuters (Jan 28, 2026) — FBI executes search warrant at Fulton County election facilityhttps://www.reuters.com/world/us/fbi-executing-search-warrant-election-office-georgia-related-2020-vote-fox-news-2026-01-28/ABC News (Jan 29, 2026) — FBI Director Kash Patel claims probable cause; warrant scope; Warner/Himes letter; Gabbard presence - https://abcnews.go.com/US/fulton-county-official-slams-trump-administration-fbis-seizure/story?id=129670285Associated Press (Jan 30, 2026) — FBI seizure of Georgia ballots; details of what was taken; Gabbard presence - https://apnews.com/article/87300edb3ea86961c69132e6a2dfd6e8Reuters (Jan 29, 2026) — Democrats demand explanation for DNI Tulsi Gabbard at raidhttps://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/democrats-ask-top-us-spy-explain-presence-fbi-raid-election-facility-2026-01-29/ACLU (Jan 29, 2026) — ACLU and ACLU of Georgia response; “no legitimate law enforcement purpose”; midterm fears - https://www.aclu.org/press-releases/aclu-and-aclu-of-georgia-respond-to-fbi-raid-on-fulton-county-elections-facility----------SILICON CURTAIN LIVE EVENTS - FUNDRAISER CAMPAIGN Events in 2026 - Advocacy for a Ukrainian victory with Silicon Curtainhttps://buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain/extrasOur events of the first half of the year in Lviv, Kyiv and Odesa were a huge success. Now we need to maintain this momentum, and change the tide towards a Ukrainian victory. The Silicon Curtain Roadshow is an ambitious campaign to run a minimum of 12 events in 2025, and potentially many more. Any support you can provide for the fundraising campaign would be gratefully appreciated. https://buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain/extras----------
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Jan 30, 2026 • 49min

937. Russia Has Not Been Deterred from Invasion, Genocide, & Hybrid Warfare!

Peter Apps is a British global affairs and defence commentator, journalist, and author best known for his work as a Reuters global defence columnist and commentator on international security, geopolitics, and conflict. He writes a regular bi-weekly column for Thomson Reuters, focusing on national security, geopolitical tensions, defence policy, and the evolving nature of conflict around the world. Apps has authored several books, including Deterring Armageddon: A Biography of NATO, and his upcoming work The Next World War explores the emerging era of great-power conflict, with significant attention to the war in Ukraine and its implications for global security. ----------LINKS:https://pete-apps.com/https://x.com/PeteAppshttps://www.linkedin.com/in/peterapps/https://tedxlondon.com/speaker/peter-apps/----------SILICON CURTAIN LIVE EVENTS - FUNDRAISER CAMPAIGN Events in 2026 - Advocacy for a Ukrainian victory with Silicon Curtainhttps://buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain/extrasOur first live events this year in Lviv and Kyiv were a huge success. Now we need to maintain this momentum, and change the tide towards a Ukrainian victory. The Silicon Curtain Roadshow is an ambitious campaign to run a minimum of 12 events in 2025, and potentially many more. We may add more venues to the program, depending on the success of the fundraising campaign. https://buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain/extrasWe need to scale up our support for Ukraine, and these events are designed to have a major impact. Your support in making it happen is greatly appreciated. All events will be recorded professionally and published for free on the Silicon Curtain channel. Where possible, we will also live-stream events.https://buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain/extras----------SUPPORT THE CHANNEL:https://www.buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtainhttps://www.patreon.com/siliconcurtain----------DESCRIPTION: The Next World War: A Deep Dive with Peter AppsIn this episode, Peter Apps, a British global affairs and defense commentator, journalist, and author, discusses his latest book, 'The Next World War,' which explores the emerging era of great power conflict with a focus on the war in Ukraine and its global implications. Apps talks about the evolving nature of international security, geopolitical tensions, and defense policies. He also delves into the similarities and differences between potential future conflicts and past world wars, the role of major global powers like China and Russia, and the challenges of maintaining global peace. The conversation touches upon the significant impact of the Ukraine war, the strategic importance of deterrence, and the potential for upcoming conflicts in various global hotspots.----------TRUSTED CHARITIES ON THE GROUND:Save Ukrainehttps://www.saveukraineua.org/Superhumans - Hospital for war traumashttps://superhumans.com/en/UNBROKEN - Treatment. Prosthesis. Rehabilitation for Ukrainians in Ukrainehttps://unbroken.org.ua/Come Back Alivehttps://savelife.in.ua/en/Chefs For Ukraine - World Central Kitchenhttps://wck.org/relief/activation-chefs-for-ukraineUNITED24 - An initiative of President Zelenskyyhttps://u24.gov.ua/Serhiy Prytula Charity Foundationhttps://prytulafoundation.org----------
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Jan 30, 2026 • 18min

Has Trump TACO'ed His Own Revolution? Popularity Hits Record Low

2026-01-30 | UPDATES #119 | Two Americans dead in Minneapolis after encounters with federal immigration agents. A city on edge. Courts warning the administration to stop violating orders. Republicans — even MAGA Republicans — demanding investigations. And inside Trump world? The wheels are coming off. Finger-pointing, retreats, and the sound of people backing away from the cliff edge they ran towards. But will Trump’s TACO on his own domestic programme of lawless authoritarianism go into reverse, or will this simply be seen as a minor rebranding issue? ----------SUPPORT THE CHANNEL:https://www.buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtainhttps://www.patreon.com/siliconcurtain----------SOURCES: Reuters — Trump warns Minneapolis mayor is “playing with fire”; Homan takes over, Bovino sidelined.Reuters — Expert critique of narrative control around Minneapolis encounters.Axios — Who’s in hot water; quotes from Noem and Miller; judge orders ICE chief to appear. Washington Post — GOP anxiety and erosion of support for tactics; conservative media backlash.AP — “No Kings” protests planned; backlash framed as anti-authoritarian mobilization. The Guardian — Biden condemnation; reporting on DHS claims vs. video controversy. Reuters (context) — Gun-rights political risk in Pretti case.Al Jazeera (via Reuters/Ipsos) — Immigration approval rating datapoint (39%). ACLU — Project 2025 framing and rule-of-law concerns. ----------SILICON CURTAIN LIVE EVENTS - FUNDRAISER CAMPAIGN Events in 2026 - Advocacy for a Ukrainian victory with Silicon Curtainhttps://buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain/extrasOur events of the first half of the year in Lviv, Kyiv and Odesa were a huge success. Now we need to maintain this momentum, and change the tide towards a Ukrainian victory. The Silicon Curtain Roadshow is an ambitious campaign to run a minimum of 12 events in 2025, and potentially many more. Any support you can provide for the fundraising campaign would be gratefully appreciated. https://buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain/extras----------
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Jan 30, 2026 • 59min

941. Trump is Potentially Demented and Dangerous - Is he TACO'ing his Own Revolution?

Livestream with Yuri Rashkin----------Silicon Curtain is a part of the Christmas Tree Trucks 2025 campaign - an ambitious fundraiser led by a group of our wonderful team of information warriors raising 110,000 EUR for the Ukrainian army. https://car4ukraine.com/campaigns/christmas-tree-trucks-2025-silicon-curtainThe Goal of the Campaign for the Silicon Curtain community:- 1 armoured battle-ready pickupWe are sourcing all vehicles around 2010-2017 or newer, mainly Toyota Hilux or Mitsubishi L200, with low mileage and fully serviced. These are some of the greatest and the most reliable pickups possible to be on the frontline in Ukraine. Who will receive the vehicles?https://car4ukraine.com/campaigns/christmas-tree-trucks-2025-silicon-curtain- The 38th Marine Brigade, who alone held Krynki for 124 days, receiving the Military Cross of Honour.- The 1027th Anti-aircraft and artillery regiment. Honoured by NATO as Defender of the Year 2024 and recipient of the Military Cross of Honour.- 104th Separate Brigade, Infantry, who alone held Kherson for 100 days, establishing conditions for the liberation of the city.- 93rd Brigade "Kholodnyi Yar", Black Raven Unmanned Systems Battalion ----------SILICON CURTAIN FILM FUNDRAISERA project to make a documentary film in Ukraine, to raise awareness of Ukraine's struggle and in supporting a team running aid convoys to Ukraine's front-line towns.https://buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain/extras----------SILICON CURTAIN LIVE EVENTS - FUNDRAISER CAMPAIGN Events in 2025 - Advocacy for a Ukrainian victory with Silicon Curtainhttps://buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain/extrasOur events of the first half of the year in Lviv, Kyiv and Odesa were a huge success. Now we need to maintain this momentum, and change the tide towards a Ukrainian victory. The Silicon Curtain Roadshow is an ambitious campaign to run a minimum of 12 events in 2025, and potentially many more. Any support you can provide for the fundraising campaign would be gratefully appreciated. https://buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain/extrasWe need to scale up our support for Ukraine, and these events are designed to have a major impact. Your support in making it happen is greatly appreciated. All events will be recorded professionally and published for free on the Silicon Curtain channel. Where possible, we will also live-stream events.https://buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain/extras----------SUPPORT THE CHANNEL:https://www.buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtainhttps://www.patreon.com/siliconcurtain----------TRUSTED CHARITIES ON THE GROUND:Save Ukrainehttps://www.saveukraineua.org/Superhumans - Hospital for war traumashttps://superhumans.com/en/UNBROKEN - Treatment. Prosthesis. Rehabilitation for Ukrainians in Ukrainehttps://unbroken.org.ua/Come Back Alivehttps://savelife.in.ua/en/Chefs For Ukraine - World Central Kitchenhttps://wck.org/relief/activation-chefs-for-ukraineUNITED24 - An initiative of President Zelenskyyhttps://u24.gov.ua/Serhiy Prytula Charity Foundationhttps://prytulafoundation.orgNGO “Herojam Slava”https://heroiamslava.org/kharpp - Reconstruction project supporting communities in Kharkiv and Przemyslhttps://kharpp.com/NOR DOG Animal Rescuehttps://www.nor-dog.org/home/-----------
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Jan 30, 2026 • 10min

Russia's Army Broken - Advancing Slower than a Snail for Longer than WW2

2026-01-29 | UPDATES #118 | Russia’s advance slows to a nine-month low — signs of an army crisis, and why major 2026 offensives may be running out of road. Today is day 1,435 of Russia’s full-scale invasion. That’s not a milestone, but an inditement of political failure and industrial-scale human waste. The “unstoppable Russian offensive” narrative is hitting a wall. This fact stunned me last week, that the Soviet Union’s Great Patriotic War against Nazi Germany lasted 1,418 days. This war has now outlasted that — with nothing like the strategic gains, and with Russia’s army moving in distance measured in meters, not kilometers.----------SUPPORT THE CHANNEL:https://www.buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtainhttps://www.patreon.com/siliconcurtain----------SOURCES: UK Parliament Hansard (Jan 29, 2026) — “Today is 1,435 days…” CSIS report (PDF): Russia’s Grinding War in Ukraine (published Jan 27, 2026) Business Insider (Jan 29, 2026) summarizing CSIS pace comparisons Associated Press (via AP News, Jan 28, 2026) on CSIS casualty estimatesThe Guardian (Jan 28, 2026) on casualty totals approaching 2m ISW / Critical Threats (Jan 27, 2026) — Donetsk timeline; “lies and exaggerations”; observed vs claimed gains Russia Matters — War Report Card (Jan 28, 2026) territory gained metrics Euromaidan Press (Jan 28, 2026) — nine-month low pace claim (km²/day) Ukraine President’s site (Jan 26, 2026) — drones destroying “more than 80%” of enemy targetsDefense News (Jan 28, 2026) — drone share of destroyed targets CSIS LinkedIn post (last 48h) — “extraordinary price for minimal gains” framing Kyiv Post (Jan 29, 2026) — false “captured” claims and battlefield risk (Kupyansk) ----------SILICON CURTAIN LIVE EVENTS - FUNDRAISER CAMPAIGN Events in 2026 - Advocacy for a Ukrainian victory with Silicon Curtainhttps://buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain/extrasOur events of the first half of the year in Lviv, Kyiv and Odesa were a huge success. Now we need to maintain this momentum, and change the tide towards a Ukrainian victory. The Silicon Curtain Roadshow is an ambitious campaign to run a minimum of 12 events in 2025, and potentially many more. Any support you can provide for the fundraising campaign would be gratefully appreciated. https://buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain/extras----------
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Jan 29, 2026 • 13min

Europe on Collision Course with Russia Over the Shadow Oil Fleet in Baltic

2026-01-29 | UPDATES #117 | Today, Europe just fired a legal warning shot across the bow of Russia’s “shadow fleet” — the aging, murky armada that keeps Putin’s oil money flowing, and increasingly turns the Baltic into a grey-zone battlefield. But stern words and legal warnings have never intimidated Putin before, in fact, he takes these as a sign of weakness, unless they are accompanied by action. Fourteen European coastal states say the basics of maritime safety are being shredded — by GNSS jamming, AIS manipulation, and sanctions-evading tankers that treat international rules like optional extras. And the subtext is clear: we’re done letting this fleet ghost through chokepoints uncontested. What did Europe announce? Are they claiming jurisdiction over the waters, or over the grey fleet? What are the conditions for interception? And does this make confrontation more likely? How far would Putin go to keep this economic lifeline going? ----------SUPPORT THE CHANNEL:https://www.buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtainhttps://www.patreon.com/siliconcurtain----------SOURCES: UK Government (26 Jan 2026) — “The growing risks to maritime safety” (open letter; signatories; UNCLOS Art 92; SOLAS/AIS/LRIT requirements) https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/the-growing-risks-to-maritime-safety/the-growing-risks-to-maritime-safetyFinnish Government / Ministry of Transport and Communications (26 Jan 2026) — Press release on the joint letter and GNSS interference - https://valtioneuvosto.fi/en/-/1410829/itameren-ja-pohjanmeren-rantavaltiot-gnss-hairinta-on-lisannyt-merenkulun-turvallisuusriskeja-1Denmark — Danish Maritime Authority (Jan 2026) — Notice referencing the open letterhttps://www.dma.dk/news/2026/january/coastal-states-warn-of-threats-to-maritime-safety-in-the-baltic-and-north-sea-regionERR (Estonia) (Jan 2026) — Summary of the warning and signatorieshttps://news.err.ee/1609924184/all-vessels-are-at-risk-14-countries-warn-shadow-fleet-vessels-to-follow-rulesMaritime Executive (26 Jan 2026) — Reporting and technical context on GNSS/AIS and the letterhttps://maritime-executive.com/article/european-nations-warn-shadow-fleet-shipowners-to-play-by-the-rulesgCaptain (Jan 2026) — Coverage framing the enforcement shift and compliance frameworkhttps://gcaptain.com/europe-signals-new-phase-in-shadow-fleet-enforcement/Insurance Journal (27 Jan 2026) — Coverage of the 14-nation warninghttps://www.insurancejournal.com/news/international/2026/01/27/855788.htmAtlantic Council (22 Jan 2026) — Analysis: shadow fleet as hybrid tool; argues for stronger interpretation/enforcement - https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/dispatches/the-us-is-taking-action-against-russias-shadow-fleet-in-the-baltic-sea-europe-should-follow-suit/Emmanuel Macron on X (Jan 2026) — Public statement on French Navy boarding of a sanctioned tanker - https://x.com/EmmanuelMacron/status/2014341199507706242----------SILICON CURTAIN LIVE EVENTS - FUNDRAISER CAMPAIGN Events in 2026 - Advocacy for a Ukrainian victory with Silicon Curtainhttps://buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain/extrasOur events of the first half of the year in Lviv, Kyiv and Odesa were a huge success. Now we need to maintain this momentum, and change the tide towards a Ukrainian victory. The Silicon Curtain Roadshow is an ambitious campaign to run a minimum of 12 events in 2025, and potentially many more. Any support you can provide for the fundraising campaign would be gratefully appreciated. https://buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain/extras----------

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