GoodFellows: Conversations from the Hoover Institution The Axis of Chaos, with Matt Pottinger | GoodFellows: John H. Cochrane, Niall Ferguson, H.R. McMaster, and Bill Whalen | Hoover Institution
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May 31, 2024 Matt Pottinger, Hoover Institution visiting fellow and editor of The Boiling Moat, discusses deterring China from Taiwan. The fellows debate UK's election, surprises of past episodes, and challenges in academia. Strategies for deterrence, reflections on past events, and navigating geopolitical challenges are also explored.
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Cold War II Deterrence
- Deterrence in Cold War II involves similarities to Cold War I, but China's economic might adds complexity.
- Winning requires hard power and avoiding statements of limitations, like what we wouldn't do in potential conflicts.
Restoring Military Strength
- Reinstate a draft for mandatory service, including military service, and declare a defense industrial base emergency.
- Stop shrinking the military budget and learn from the mistakes of the 1930s.
Biden Doctrine and Nuclear Powers
- The Biden doctrine seems to be that nuclear powers are untouchable, leading to slow losses instead of decisive victories.
- Fighting a shooting war with a nuclear-armed China appears unlikely given current trends.