GZERO World with Ian Bremmer What's next for Syria after Assad, with Beirut-based journalist and author Kim Ghattas
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Dec 14, 2024 Kim Ghattas, a Beirut-based journalist and Middle East expert, dives into the recent collapse of the Assad regime in Syria. She discusses the rapid unravelling of an authoritarian rule that lasted decades, shedding light on the staggering human cost of the conflict. Ghattas examines the complex geopolitical landscape, highlighting how Iran, Russia, and Israel are maneuvering for influence in the vacuum left behind. She also emphasizes the importance of a Syrian-led transition and the critical role of U.S. foreign policy in ensuring stability in the region.
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Syrian Regime Collapse
- The sudden collapse of Assad's regime after 50 years was surprising, especially given its prior strength.
- Several factors contributed, including HTS seizing an opportunity created by Assad's weakened supporters.
Assad's Weakened Forces
- Assad's forces were depleted by the long war, and the economy and widespread corruption further weakened them.
- The lack of improvement in people's lives under the regime also decreased their will to fight.
Iran and Russia's Limited Support
- Iran and Russia's support was crucial for Assad's survival. Their current vulnerabilities and distraction with other conflicts limited their ability to aid him effectively.
- Iran's stretched resources across various proxy wars and Russia's involvement in Ukraine are contributing factors.