The New Liberal Podcast

The Race to the 2026 Midterms ft. Dave Weigel

21 snips
Aug 22, 2025
Dave Weigel, a political reporter at Semafor, dives into the strategic landscape of the 2026 midterms. He discusses how gerrymandering may impact electoral outcomes and the issues both parties are zeroing in on. Weigel poses critical questions about the effectiveness of party strategies, especially for Republicans navigating without Trump. He also analyzes the role of conservative media in shaping liberal perceptions and the significance of economic factors in voter decision-making.
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INSIGHT

Democrats’ Turnout Advantage

  • Democrats now have a reliably high-turnout base that shows up for special and midterm elections.
  • Republicans face a challenge convincing casual 2024 Trump voters to stay engaged without Trump on every ballot.
INSIGHT

Trump’s Fragile New Voters

  • Trump expanded his 2024 coalition with new promises and voters who may not stay if promises go unfulfilled.
  • Young and nonwhite gains in 2024 could erode if immediate needs aren't met.
INSIGHT

Deliverism Isn’t Paying Off

  • Democrats have tried many policy approaches but struggle to show clear deliverables that win back swing voters.
  • Large legislative achievements haven't guaranteed voter reward, complicating the 'deliverables' theory.
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