
ChinaPower The Fourth Plenum and China’s Evolving Economic Strategy: A Conversation with Dr. Elizabeth Economy
Nov 20, 2025
Dr. Elizabeth Economy, a Hargrove Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution and former senior advisor for China at the U.S. Department of Commerce, dives into the key implications of China's Fourth Plenum. She discusses Beijing's push for technological self-reliance, the challenges of local competition leading to overcapacity, and China's evolving trade strategies with the U.S. Economy also highlights the risks posed by global pushback and demographic shifts, as well as the strategic missteps surrounding rare-earth controls. Expect insights into the future of China-U.S. relations!
AI Snips
Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
Local Rivalry Created Massive Overcapacity
- Local and provincial competition led to hundreds of overlapping firms, like 200+ EV makers and 58 satellite makers.
- That produced overcapacity which China exported, prompting global pushback and harming nascent industries abroad.
Local Incentives Drive Tech Investment
- Local officials chase investment to boost revenues and career prospects after the property slump.
- Xi is pushing new-tech investment but faces difficulty reining in entrenched local incentives.
Strengths And Structural Risks To Tech Ambitions
- China has a strong innovation playbook: talent, investment, and restrictive rules that favor domestic firms.
- Major risks are economic slowdown, demographics, limited access to the innovation economy, and global pushback against unfair practices.

