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This Is Not A Drill with Gavin Esler
Islamic State – How global chaos is bringing terror back
Dec 4, 2024
In a deep dive into global terrorism, Charles Lister, a Middle East Institute expert on ISIS, and Ryan O’Farrell, a senior analyst at the Bridgeway Foundation focused on ISIS in Africa, unpack the group's alarming resurgence. They discuss the shift in ISIS tactics, rising attacks, and the dire situation in Syrian detainee camps. The conversation also highlights ISIS’s expanding influence in Africa and the challenges faced by local populations. With complex insurgent dynamics and dwindling Western support, there's a pressing need for renewed international attention.
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Quick takeaways
- Despite losing territorial control, ISIS is strategically repositioning and escalating its activities in populated areas of Syria and beyond.
- The dire conditions of prisons housing former ISIS fighters are exacerbating the humanitarian crisis, potentially breeding future extremism and complicating counterterrorism efforts.
Deep dives
The Resurgence of ISIS
Despite the defeat of ISIS's territorial control, the group continues to pose an active threat both in Syria and globally. Recent developments show a surge in ISIS activities, particularly in Syria where the operational tempo is expected to double in 2024, while attacks in northeastern Syria could triple. This resurgence is attributed to a lack of stability and the chaotic environment that enables recruitments and daring attacks against well-defended positions. The shift in operational focus from the central Syrian desert to more populated areas suggests that ISIS is strategically repositioning itself to exploit vulnerabilities in military and governance structures.
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Discover
highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode