2024 Vuelta a España Stage 18 Analysis & Stage 19 Preview | OŪTCOMES
Sep 5, 2024
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Urko Berrade, a surprising winner for Equipo Kern Pharma at Vuelta a España, joins Johan Bruyneel and Spencer Martin to discuss his unexpected victory in Stage 18. They analyze the strategic play behind breakaways, offering insights into team dynamics and individual performances. Anticipation builds for the brutal summit finish in Stage 19, where key riders like Roglič and Carapaz will face intense competition. The trio also highlights betting odds and the financial disparities between teams, exploring how these factors shape the race.
Urko Berrade's unexpected victory in Stage 18 highlights the significance of strategic teamwork for underdog teams like Equipo Kern Pharma.
Richard Carapaz's strong performance and climbing strategy in Stage 19 could be pivotal for determining the outcome against leading competitors.
Deep dives
Predictions for Stage 19
The discussion predicts a competitive Stage 19 of the Vuelta España, with a focus on key riders likely to influence the outcome. Richard Carapaz is highlighted as a strong contender due to his recent form and past performances on tough climbs, particularly noting his strategy against competitors like Enric Mas and Primoz Roglic. The stage's challenging terrain features a final climb averaging around 9% gradient, raising the stakes for riders needing to conserve energy while also considering the implications of their attacks. Historical context is provided by referencing previous performances, suggesting Carapaz's potential to seize victory if he positions himself well amidst the ongoing competition.
Current Pharma's Remarkable Performance
The success of the Kern Pharma team at the Vuelta España is underscored, where they have surpassed expectations by clinching multiple stage wins against traditionally stronger teams. Their strategic approach and effective teamwork enabled them to place three riders in a decisive breakaway, demonstrating their capability to compete strongly despite having fewer resources. Discussion includes their remarkable achievement of winning more stages than major teams like Movistar since 2020, raising questions about team selection for future races. The conversation also implies that teams might consider focusing their efforts on singular events, such as the Grand Tours, to maximize their potential for success in a competitive environment.
Analysis of Team Dynamics
The podcast highlights the influence of team strategies and rider performance dynamics in determining race outcomes during the Vuelta. It emphasizes the contrasting decisions made by teams regarding rider management and breakaway challenges, particularly focusing on EF Education's tactical moves that impacted overall race results. Speculations arise about rider fitness, especially concerning Mikal Landa, suggesting that if his current struggle continues, it may affect his team’s prospects in the next stages. The conversation dives into how one team’s aggressive tactics can inadvertently alter the competition landscape, showing the delicate balance between aggression and conservation as the race progresses.
THEMOVE regulars Johan Bruyneel and Spencer Martin break down how Urko Berrade upset the favorites to give Equipo Kern Pharma their third win of this Vuelta on Stage 18, before previewing tomorrow's Stage 19, which serves up yet another brutal summit finish. Listen in to see how the duo thinks the action will play out, who will come out on top, and which riders present the best betting value.
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