180: Investors Bullish on Housing Once Again, Flipping to Take OFF w/Rick Sharga
Jan 18, 2024
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Rick Sharga, a real estate expert at CJ Patrick Company, reveals the significant boost in investor optimism for the housing market. He discusses the latest investor sentiment survey, highlighting the strategies that will see explosive growth. The podcast explores the resurgence in rental property investing and house flipping, low mortgage rate predictions, and the biggest concern of investors. It also touches on challenges faced by flippers, the outlook for the housing market, and market insights from a guest.
Investor sentiment survey shows flippers are more optimistic than rental property owners about the real estate market conditions and expect further improvement in the next six months.
Insurance costs and limited availability of insurance are significant factors affecting both flippers and rental property owners, with rising premiums and limited insurance availability influencing their decision-making process.
Deep dives
Investor Sentiment and Market Conditions
According to a recent investor sentiment survey conducted by CJ Patrick, about 40% of investors feel that the residential real estate investing environment is better or much better compared to a year ago. The survey also revealed that flippers are more optimistic than rental property owners, with 51% of flippers believing that conditions are better and expect further improvement in the next six months. On the other hand, only 20% of rental property owners view the market as better and only 22% expect improvement. The survey also highlighted that rising insurance premiums and limited availability of insurance are factors affecting investors' decisions, with 70% of investors stating that insurance costs influence whether to buy an investment property. Additionally, 62% mentioned that insurance is somewhat of a hindrance in their ability to buy and sell properties.
Flipping Market Trends and Increased Margins
The flipping industry is facing challenges due to limited properties for sale, declining sales volume, and higher costs. The Adam Data report showed a decrease in the number of flips, with about 72,000 flips in the third quarter of 2023, down significantly from previous quarters. However, flippers who are successfully selling properties are experiencing improved margins, with gross margins rising from 22% to 30%. The complexity of the market has created wider margins as fewer flippers are taking on more complex construction projects, allowing experienced flippers to work smarter and choose deals with higher returns. The report also highlighted that market conditions vary by location, with activity shifting to regions where properties are more affordable, population is growing, and there is job growth.
Impact of Rising Insurance Costs
Insurance costs and limited availability have become significant factors in the real estate market, affecting both flippers and rental property owners. Around 70% of investors view rising premiums and limited insurance availability as factors in their decision-making process. For flippers, 80% consider insurance an issue and 74% view it as a hindrance. However, only 9% of flippers see insurance as one of their top three challenges. The situation is different for rental property owners, with 69% viewing insurance as a factor and 62% stating it hinders their ability to buy and sell properties. Rental property owners are more likely to consider insurance a major problem, with 30% considering it a challenge today and 25% expecting it to be a top challenge in the future.
Outlook for the Flipping Market
The flipping market is showing signs of improvement, with experienced flippers finding opportunities and achieving higher margins. While the market faces challenges such as limited properties for sale and increasing costs, improving market conditions, including potential reductions in interest rates and positive home price appreciation, may benefit flippers in the future. The Adam Data report indicates that margins are improving, and savvy flippers are being selective in their deal choices. Additionally, activity is shifting to regions with affordable properties, population growth, and job opportunities. However, market conditions may vary, and flippers need to adapt to the changing landscape.
The tide may have finally turned for real estate investing and the housing market. After carefully tracking sentiment among small investors, Rick Sharga’s team at CJ Patrick Company has seen a BIG boost in optimism over the last quarter. It seems that betting on the housing market is back as improving investor sentiment and confidence pushes more and more people to go after rental property investing and house flipping. But which strategies will have the most explosive growth?
We sat down to break the story with Rick on the newest Investor Sentiment Survey, what investors are feeling the most bullish about in the 2024 housing market, and the biggest concern investors have on their minds. And the data Rick shares isn’t just shown in the survey—it’s mirroring today’s market conditions. In James’ market alone, investor demand has quadrupled recently, showing a STRONG resurgence in a specific type of real estate investing.
We’ll walk through the new investor sentiment numbers, why house flipping activity could explode over the next year, one big risk hurting rental property investors, and where investing activity is pooling across the nation.
In This Episode We Cover:
Latest investor sentiment numbers and the one strategy that is about to have a BIG comeback
The HUGE opportunity for rental property investing that most investors will miss
How James made MORE money doing HALF as many flips in 2023
Low mortgage rate predictions and why investors need to get in BEFORE rates drop
One serious hurdle that’s hurting rental property investors in 2024