Plain English with Derek Thompson The Media is Missing Something Big in Biden’s Bad Polling Numbers
19 snips
Nov 17, 2023 
Nate Cohn, chief political analyst at the New York Times, dives into the worrisome polling numbers for Joe Biden, especially in swing states. He discusses the notorious poll showing Trump ahead and the importance of taking polls seriously, despite the election still being months away. Cohn highlights Biden's age as a multi-faceted issue and introduces the 'engagement gap'—a critical yet underexplored aspect affecting voter behavior that might reshape the political landscape as 2024 approaches.
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Polling Challenges
- Modern presidential polls face challenges like low response rates and potential biases.
- The New York Times addresses these by oversampling underrepresented groups and weighting responses.
Poll Trustworthiness
- Don't blindly trust polls, but recognize they offer valuable information.
- Polls reveal trends and inform campaigns, even if not perfectly predictive.
NYT Poll Impact
- The New York Times poll showed Biden trailing Trump in key swing states.
- This poll's results will significantly influence campaign strategies.