The Upcoming Showdown at the Fed, and Making Cents out of Eliminating the Penny
Jan 27, 2025
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Delve into the impact of executive actions sparking record stock highs and shifts in market dynamics. Explore the contentious debate around the penny's future, its production costs, and the lessons learned from Canada's previous elimination. As the Federal Reserve prepares to meet, consider the implications of interest rate decisions on the economy. Plus, a look at the rise of nuclear energy stocks driven by AI and how dark pools are changing trading transparency. The financial landscape is evolving, and there's much to discuss!
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Quick takeaways
The stock market's record highs were driven by large tech stocks and positive investor sentiment from the new administration's announcements.
The proposal to eliminate the penny aims to save taxpayers millions but faces challenges like inflation and existing circulation issues.
Deep dives
Record Highs and Market Optimism
The stock market reached fresh record highs, primarily driven by large tech stocks amidst positive investor sentiment following a series of announcements from the new administration. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ both saw substantial weekly gains, influenced by a combination of softer tariff rhetoric and buoyant earnings reports from financial stocks. The optimism was partly fueled by an anticipated investment of $500 billion aimed at bolstering the U.S. artificial intelligence sector, which sparked renewed interest in tech companies like NVIDIA and Oracle. This rally was even more notable considering the over-concentration of gains in a select few tech stocks, highlighting the importance of broader market participation.
The Airlines' Surge
United Airlines demonstrated remarkable growth, posting a stunning 144% gain over the past year, outpacing major tech companies such as NVIDIA and Netflix. This surge was fueled by strong fourth-quarter results and projections for continued recovery as U.S. travelers capitalize on the strong dollar for international travel. Delta Airlines also benefitted, reporting a 67% increase in share price, with its CEO predicting 2025 could be the best year in the airline's history. The resurgence of airline stocks reflects a significant shift from traditional views of the industry, with some airlines effectively navigating the turbulence that once plagued them.
The Controversial Future of the Penny
Proposals to eliminate the penny have emerged from the newly established Department of Government Efficiency, led by prominent figures, aiming to cut government spending. The production of pennies costs taxpayers significantly more than their face value, and historically, a large portion has dropped out of circulation, resulting in inefficiencies. While eliminating the penny could save taxpayers around $200 million yearly, the transition comes with challenges, including potential inflation from rounding up prices and a massive volume of pennies already in circulation. The experiences of other countries, such as Canada, offer insight into how this could be managed without adverse economic effects, but unique complexities in the U.S. market complicate the issue.
On The Express this week, we dissect the flurry of economic executive orders and announcements from the Trump administration and identify the new power brokers influencing markets and the future of A.I. The Federal Reserve will meet on interest rates for the first time this year and the first time under this administration, which has been demanding lower rates. Plus, DOGE, led by Elon Musk, says it's time to stop printing the Penny, but those cents come with billions of dollars worth of complications even though they cost more to produce than they are actually worth. And, stocks touched record highs again last week, and breadth inside the markets actually improved which could set the stage for the next leg of this bull market.