The President’s Inbox

Japan Reacts to Trump’s Victory, With Sheila Smith (Transition 2025, Episode 6)

Dec 10, 2024
Sheila Smith, the John E. Merow senior fellow for Asia-Pacific studies at CFR, discusses Japan's nuanced reaction to Trump's election win. She highlights concerns over U.S.-Japan relations amidst Trump's hawkish approach to China. The conversation delves into Japan's evolving security strategy, balancing its pacifist history with rising threats. Smith outlines the implications for Japan-China relations under U.S. policies and explores the challenges facing Japan's new Prime Minister in navigating this complex geopolitical landscape.
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INSIGHT

Japan's Reaction to Trump's Victory

  • Japanese officials were initially pleased with Abe's relationship with Trump.
  • This time, replicating that approach might not work due to both Trump's and the new Prime Minister's evolved positions.
ANECDOTE

Abe's Legacy

  • During Trump's first term, Abe built a strong personal bond with him, influencing early Asia policy.
  • This foundation of respect may benefit the new Prime Minister, despite a different context.
INSIGHT

Ishiba's Domestic Challenges

  • The new Prime Minister, Ishiba, faces domestic challenges including a minority government and upcoming elections.
  • This weakened position complicates his ability to engage with the second Trump administration.
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