Excess Returns

Electricity Is the New Oil | Rob Thummel on the Energy Opportunity from the AI Boom

19 snips
Oct 6, 2025
Rob Thummel, a senior investment professional at Tortoise Capital with decades of energy expertise, discusses why electricity is becoming the new oil. He highlights how AI is driving unprecedented electricity demand, predicting a future need equivalent to adding three Japan-sized energy capacities by 2050. Thummel explores the roles of natural gas, renewables, and the resurgence of nuclear energy. He also shares insights on energy infrastructure's stability and why it's a promising area for investors amid today's shifting energy landscape.
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INSIGHT

Electricity Is The New Oil

  • Rob Thummel says electricity will be the binding constraint on AI development and economic growth.
  • He argues “electricity is the new oil” because AI’s scale depends on reliable power access.
INSIGHT

Hydrocarbons Remain Core

  • Hydrocarbons still supply the majority of U.S. energy and will remain important for decades.
  • Natural gas and nuclear are likely to gain market share while coal may decline.
INSIGHT

Massive Electricity Growth Ahead

  • U.S. electricity demand is flat historically but will surge with AI and electrification.
  • Thummel projects U.S. demand could grow ~75% by 2050, equal to adding three Japans.
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