Best of the Spectator Coffee House Shots: should Britain recognise Palestine?
Sep 20, 2025
Michael Stephens is a Senior analyst at RUSI specializing in Middle East affairs, while Gabriel Pogrund is a political journalist for The Sunday Times focused on the Labour Party. They dive into the complexities of the UK recognizing Palestine, discussing its symbolic value and the impacts on Labour's internal dynamics. The guests analyze the potential backlash from the US and the strain on UK relations with Gulf states. They also explore factional tensions within Labour and how shifting political pressures are shaping Starmer’s decisions.
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Recognition Is Largely Symbolic
- Recognition of Palestinian statehood is symbolically significant but unlikely to change the situation on the ground in Gaza or the West Bank.
- Michael Stephens argues the move mainly shifts rhetoric and reflects Western discomfort with Israel's actions.
Domestic Politics Drive The Decision
- Domestic party dynamics and moral shifts within Labour pushed Starmer toward recognition of Palestine.
- Gabriel Pogrund says the timing reflects changing political facts and pressure from the left and Muslim communities.
Prepare For US Backlash
- Anticipate diplomatic pushback from the US and prepare legal and political defenses before declaring recognition.
- Michael Stephens warns Starmer may be boxed in domestically and internationally if he lacks leverage.
