HousingWire Daily The outlook for housing inventory and home prices for the rest of 2025
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Aug 19, 2025 
Join Logan Mohtashami, Lead Analyst at HousingWire, as he unpacks the future of housing inventory and home prices, offering expert insights into market dynamics. He discusses the shifting landscape since mid-June and the impact of mortgage rates on buyer behavior. The conversation delves into seasonal trends affecting home sales and the importance of monitoring economic indicators. Plus, get a glimpse of how upcoming remarks from Fed Chair Powell may influence the housing market and economic outlook through 2025.
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Early Signs Of A Pricing Shift
- Logan Mohtashami sees price stability since mid-June as an early sign that the pricing model may be shifting again if rates fall toward 6%.
- He warns his own bearish price forecast needs more weakness to be proven right given recent stabilization.
Inventory Has Recovered To Healthier Levels
- Single-family active inventory has rebounded from 240,000 in March 2022 to about 860,000 in the tracker and 1.53M in existing homes data.
- Mohtashami calls that progress meaningful and says the market is no longer in the deeply unhealthy low‑inventory era.
New Listings Momentum Has Stalled
- New listings peaked briefly this year but have slowed noticeably after May, failing to sustain normal seasonal levels.
- He notes 2024 was the second-lowest year ever for new listings, making this year's slowdown notable.