Is Russia Bad at War? Will Systemic Weaknesses Lead to Its Defeat?

2025-10-17 | Silicon Wafers 031 | DAILY UPDATES | Today: Why Russia’s War Machine Is Cracking, and it fails to fundamentally reform. Is the Russian military failing? What systemic, strategic, technical, and economic fractures are eating it from within? And what does that mean for Ukraine and Russia’s imperial dreams? Here are the angles we’ll explore: 1. Strategic misalignment & flawed doctrine2. Structural weaknesses in the military‑industrial complex3. Logistics, supply chains, and chokepoints4. Technology, drones, and innovation shortfalls5. Economic strain, manpower, and corruption6. Recent battlefield case study + outlook----------Partner on this video: KYIV OF MINE Watch the trailer now: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=arJUcE1rxY0'Kyiv of Mine' is a documentary series about Ukraine’s beautiful capital, Kyiv. The film production began in 2018, and much has changed since then. It is now 2025, and this story is far from over.https://www.youtube.com/@UCz6UbVKfqutH-N7WXnC5Ykg https://www.kyivofmine.com/#theprojectKyiv of Mine is fast paced, beautifully filmed, humorous, fun, insightful, heartbreaking, moving, hopeful. The very antithesis in fact of a doom-laden and worthy wartime documentary. This is a work that is extraordinarily uplifting. My friend Operator Starsky says the film is “Made with so much love. The film series will make you laugh and cry.” ----------SOURCES: Russia’s War Machine Runs Out of Resources — Reddit discussion, citing military spending dataComparing the Size and Capabilities of the Russian and Ukrainian Militaries — Council on Foreign RelationsRussia’s Struggle to Modernize Its Military Industry — Chatham House Russia Analytical Report, Oct. 6–14, 2025 — RussiaMatters Disassembling the Russian War Machine: Logistics, Procurement, Constraints — KSE Institute Russia Has the Resources for a Long War in Ukraine — Carnegie Endowment Economic impact of the Russo‑Ukrainian war — Wikipedia & referencesRussian arms industry overview — WikipediaBattle of Avdiivka (2023–2024) — Wikipedia & open sources Forecasting Russian Equipment Losses Using Time Series and Deep Learning Models (ArXiv)“Russia’s coal miners buckle under sanctions…” — Financial Times (2025) “Russian high military recruitment bonuses…” — Business Insider (2025)“New report says Russia is better able to withstand heavy battlefield losses…” — AP News“Ukraine war briefing: Crimea oil depot burns…” — The Guardian“The key to success is in the sky” — The Guardian on Russia’s air assault“Power restored to 800,000 in Kyiv…” — AP News“Russian tycoon body count … mysterious deaths” — NY Post“Russia is unleashing a new surge of exploding drone attacks on Ukraine’s rail network” — Business Insider“The ‘Deathonomics’ Powering Russia’s War Machine” — Wall Street JournalThe Economic Costs of the Russia‑Ukraine War: A Synthetic Control Study of (Lost) Entrepreneurship — Audretsch et al. (arXiv)----------SILICON CURTAIN FILM FUNDRAISERA project to make a documentary film in Ukraine, to raise awareness of Ukraine's struggle and in supporting a team running aid convoys to Ukraine's front-line towns.https://buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain/extras----------