Best of the Spectator Coffee House Shots Live: are the Tories toast?
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Jul 19, 2025 
Tim Shipman, Political Editor of The Spectator, shares insights on the Conservative Party's struggles, emphasizing the significant challenges Kemi Badenoch faces following substantial local election losses. Pollster Luke Tryl adds data on public sentiment towards both Conservative and Labour parties, highlighting the potential disruptor role of Reform UK. They discuss the evolving strategies of Labour and the urgency for the Tories to reclaim voter trust, exploring the implications of upcoming elections and the need for effective messaging.
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Conservatives Not Doomed Yet
- The Conservative Party is not as doomed as some believe despite recent challenges.
- Historical context and upcoming election issues suggest a deep-rooted resilience among Tories.
Tories Facing Severe Short-Term Crisis
- The Tories are in a very difficult state and face serious short-term challenges.
- Political history shows parties often struggle to return quickly after being ousted.
Reform UK Disrupts Tory Recovery
- Reform UK's rise disrupts traditional post-election party regeneration.
- The biggest threat to the Tories is not internal shifts but voters turning to Reform UK as Labour opposition.