On the Media

The Battle for the Future of the Democratic Party

60 snips
Nov 21, 2025
G. Elliott Morris, a journalist and statistician known for his data-driven analysis, shares insights on how moderation might not be the electoral magic bullet some believe. Matt Bennett, co-founder of Third Way, discusses the political implications of progressive candidates' wins, emphasizing tone and authenticity to appeal to voters. Arizona state senator Annalise Ortiz reveals her innovative community strategies, including using TikTok for outreach and advocating for local engagement to win over constituents and even moderate voters.
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INSIGHT

Moderation Isn’t The Silver Bullet

  • Voters value ideological moderation far less than partisan identity in modern elections.
  • Elliot Morris finds the moderation premium is about one to 1.5 percentage points, much smaller than incumbency or fundraising.
INSIGHT

Party Identity Beats Issue Alignment

  • Partisan sorting has made party identity trump issue-based voting for many Americans.
  • Morris argues people are a Republican or Democrat before they are a moderate on issues.
INSIGHT

Polls Can Mislabel Party Positions

  • Some analyses misrepresent Democratic positions by testing fringe policies not in party platforms.
  • Morris warns that using unrealistic policy lists yields misleading advice about ‘moderation.’
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