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The Reconciliation Rubber Meets the Road

Apr 29, 2025
As Congress resumes, the urgency of reconciliation efforts heats up amid ongoing debates. Tensions rise over tax reforms, including a millionaire's tax and the SALT deduction. A unique focus lies on Trump's mixed poll numbers 100 days into his presidency, especially in key regions like Macomb County. The hosts analyze the intricate dynamics of moderates versus hardliners and the implications for Medicaid negotiations. Insights into upcoming legislative challenges shed light on the complex relationship between the House and Senate.
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INSIGHT

Reconciliation Markups Face Delays

  • House committees began markups on reconciliation but true progress on contentious issues like tax provisions is delayed till June or later.
  • Leadership's aggressive deadlines appear unrealistic given the complex intra-party negotiations needed.
INSIGHT

Moderates Push Back on Medicaid Cuts

  • Moderates in Congress are signaling they will resist Medicaid cuts in reconciliation, differing from typical party leadership compliance.
  • Medicaid coverage impact estimates from CBO will challenge claims that proposed spending cuts don’t affect beneficiaries.
INSIGHT

Uncertainty in GOP Spending Cut Strategy

  • It's unclear if House GOP is negotiating spending cuts with the Senate or setting maximal House positions to pressure the Senate.
  • Some concessions on defense budget suggest limited coordination but overall process lacks firm bipartisan agreement.
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