The Daily

43% vs. 43%: Why Trump and Biden Are Tied in Our New Poll

40 snips
Aug 3, 2023
Nate Cohn, the Chief Political Analyst for The New York Times, shares fresh insights into the 2024 election landscape. Despite facing multiple legal challenges, Trump's support remains sturdy, with over 90% of his base still behind him. Recent polls reveal a surprising tie between Trump and Biden at 43%. Cohn discusses how Trump's influence continues to dominate the Republican primaries and the challenges both candidates face, highlighting the evolving voter sentiment that could reshape the election dynamics.
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INSIGHT

Trump's Crushing Lead

  • Trump leads the Republican primary with 54% against DeSantis' 17%.
  • This crushing lead surpasses Trump's previous primary performance and even Clinton's leads in 2008 and 2016.
INSIGHT

Republican Perception of Trump

  • Republicans largely dismiss Trump's federal crime allegations.
  • They also believe Trump has a better chance of beating Biden than DeSantis, despite past election results.
INSIGHT

The MAGA Base

  • Trump's MAGA base, comprising 37% of Republicans, strongly supports him.
  • None of the respondents in this base believe Trump committed any federal crimes.
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