
New Books Network Erik Lin-Greenberg, "The Remote Revolution: Drones and Modern Statecraft" (Cornell UP, 2025)
Dec 19, 2025
Erik Lin-Greenberg, a political scientist and former U.S. Air Force officer, dives into how drones are reshaping international security in his new book. He argues that contrary to common belief, drones actually reduce the likelihood of conflict escalation by gathering intelligence and minimizing threats to national honor. Exploring historical drone operations, he reveals that even as conflicts increase, drones can mitigate intense responses from adversaries. Lin-Greenberg also discusses the broader implications for policymakers and previews his next project on transparency in state actions.
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Drones Change The Cost Calculus Of Force
- Drones lower the political and human costs of military operations, changing leaders' calculus about using force.
- This often increases the frequency of conflict but reduces the probability of escalation into high-intensity war.
More Deployments, Milder Reprisals
- Moral hazard leads states to deploy drones more often and treat shoot-downs as less costly.
- Escalation control means states then restrain retaliation when drones are lost, keeping conflicts milder.
Cold War Drone Shoot-Downs Over China
- During the Cold War the U.S. flew reconnaissance drones over China and often ignored Chinese shoot-downs.
- A U.S. colonel advised not to worry about losses because 'there's not a U.S. pilot in a Chinese prison.'
