Predictive History - The Story of "Civilization" Civilization #31 - The Oceanic Currents of History
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Oct 7, 2025 Dive into the intricate tapestry of historical change through the lens of major global conflicts like Ukraine and the Middle East. Explore the contrasting models of history, from cyclical to progressive, and discover how cultural ecosystems play a pivotal role. The discussion unpacks the rise and fall of empires, emphasizing borderlands' critical influence on expansion and cultural triumph. With the ocean currents metaphor, learn how today's societal pressures could ignite new historical hurricanes. Join in to dissect the complex dynamics shaping our past and future.
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Ukraine War Reshapes Global Stability
- The Ukraine war is ongoing and reshaping global stability, logistics, and prices.
- The conflict forces rerouted flights and widespread economic disruption affecting everyone.
Iran And The Strait Of Hormuz Are Strategic Linchpins
- Middle East conflict risks wider regional war, especially if Israel attacks Iran.
- Iran controls oil routes like the Strait of Hormuz, threatening global trade and forcing outside powers to intervene.
Pax Americana Enabled Growth And Backlash
- Post-1991 unipolarity gave the U.S. economic and naval dominance that enabled global trade.
- That Pax Americana boosted growth (e.g., China's rise) but also provoked pushback and geopolitical conflict.
