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JAMA Clinical Reviews

How Artificial Intelligence Has Evolved and the Implications for Health Care

Jan 16, 2024
Dr. Michael Howell discusses the evolution of AI in healthcare, from symbolic AI to AI 3.0. The limitations of AI 1.0 and the impact of biases in AI 2.0 are explored. Advancements in AI 3.0, such as foundation models and generative AI, are discussed. The importance of clinicians understanding different AI models and gaining first-hand experience is emphasized.
13:14

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Quick takeaways

  • AI 1.0 focused on rule-based decision logic flow but was limited in capabilities and faced challenges in real-world complexities.
  • AI 2.0 excelled in predicting future outcomes and classifying unstructured data, but faced limitations in conducting tasks beyond prediction and classification and encountered biases inherent in the data and algorithmic design choices.

Deep dives

The Three Epochs of Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare

The podcast episode discusses three distinct epochs of artificial intelligence (AI) in healthcare. AI 1.0, which started in the 1950s, focused on symbolic AI and probabilistic models. It involved encapsulating human knowledge into computer code, such as clinical pathways in electronic health records. However, AI 1.0 was limited in its capability to handle complex scenarios and was susceptible to biased data. In the 2000s, AI 2.0 revolutionized healthcare with deep learning, enabling the prediction of future events and the classification of unstructured data. However, AI 2.0 was restricted to performing one task at a time and inherited biases from biased data. The recent emergence of AI 3.0 brings foundation models or large language models that can perform multiple tasks and generate new content. Though promising, AI 3.0 introduces the challenges of building an evidence base, addressing semantic bias, and ensuring fairness and equity.

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